Lovćen vs Kom Statistics & Analysis

Lovćen

May 20, 2026 - 15:30

1 1.45

0 1.25

xG Accuracy: 63%

Kom

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
1X2 Lovćen Lovćen ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 06, 2026 · 09:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3112123

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Lovćen win · Lovćen 1–0 Kom

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Seconda Lega Montenegro
Fixture: Lovćen vs Kom
Kickoff: 2026-05-20 15:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Lovćen 1.45 — Kom 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 57.0% · Over 2.5 43.0%); BTTS No (Yes 37.4% · No 62.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 37.4% · No 62.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.9%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Seconda Lega Montenegro — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Otrant-Olympic	36	23	5	8	74
2	Grbalj	36	21	4	11	67
3	Iskra	36	17	13	6	64
4	Berane	36	12	14	10	50
5	Kom	36	15	5	16	50
6	Lovćen	36	14	6	16	48
7	Mladost Lješkopolje	36	13	8	15	47
8	Rudar	36	12	9	15	45
9	Igalo	36	8	8	20	32
10	Internacional Podgorica	36	5	8	23	23

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Otrant-Olympic	36	81	31	+50	74
2	Grbalj	36	63	42	+21	67
3	Iskra	36	51	34	+17	64
4	Kom	36	47	43	+4	50
5	Rudar	36	47	48	-1	45
6	Berane	36	45	36	+9	50
7	Mladost Lješkopolje	36	39	46	-7	47
8	Lovćen	36	34	45	-11	48
9	Internacional Podgorica	36	31	76	-45	23
10	Igalo	36	21	58	-37	32