Fram vs Brumunddal Statistics & Analysis

Oct 10, 2026 - 13:00
4 1.34
0 1.26
xG Accuracy: 34%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Fram Fram ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13206633

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Fram win · Fram 4–0 Brumunddal
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 3ª Divisione - Girone 6
  • Fixture: Fram vs Brumunddal
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Fram 1.34 — Brumunddal 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
3ª Divisione - Girone 6 3ª Divisione - Girone 6 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Lillehammer 23 18 2 3 56
2 Elverum 22 14 2 6 44
3 Gjøvik-Lyn 23 13 2 8 41
4 Råde 22 12 4 6 40
5 Drøbak/Frogn 23 11 5 7 38
6 Ørn Horten 23 10 5 8 35
7 Sandefjord II 22 10 3 9 33
8 Oppsal 23 10 3 10 33
9 Lyn II 22 9 4 9 31
10 Raelingen 22 9 4 9 31
11 Sarpsborg 08 II 22 8 4 10 28
12 Fram 23 7 5 11 26
13 Brumunddal 23 3 3 17 12
14 Bjørkelangen 23 1 0 22 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Lillehammer 23 84 32 +52 56
2 Råde 22 70 40 +30 40
3 Elverum 22 61 36 +25 44
4 Sandefjord II 22 54 46 +8 33
5 Drøbak/Frogn 23 52 32 +20 38
6 Sarpsborg 08 II 22 50 53 -3 28
7 Lyn II 22 47 47 0 31
8 Ørn Horten 23 44 36 +8 35
9 Gjøvik-Lyn 23 43 21 +22 41
10 Fram 23 43 49 -6 26
11 Oppsal 23 40 37 +3 33
12 Raelingen 22 39 54 -15 31
13 Brumunddal 23 25 92 -67 12
14 Bjørkelangen 23 17 94 -77 3