Lyn II vs Råde Statistics & Analysis

Oct 05, 2026 - 17:00
0 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 49%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Lyn II Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:51 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11231348

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Lyn II 0–0 Råde
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 3ª Divisione - Girone 6
  • Fixture: Lyn II vs Råde
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-05 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Lyn II 1.32 — Råde 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 20.8% · Probability edge: +31.0 pts · Est. EV: +140.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
3ª Divisione - Girone 6 3ª Divisione - Girone 6 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Lillehammer 23 18 2 3 56
2 Elverum 22 14 2 6 44
3 Gjøvik-Lyn 23 13 2 8 41
4 Råde 22 12 4 6 40
5 Drøbak/Frogn 23 11 5 7 38
6 Ørn Horten 23 10 5 8 35
7 Sandefjord II 22 10 3 9 33
8 Oppsal 23 10 3 10 33
9 Lyn II 22 9 4 9 31
10 Raelingen 22 9 4 9 31
11 Sarpsborg 08 II 22 8 4 10 28
12 Fram 23 7 5 11 26
13 Brumunddal 23 3 3 17 12
14 Bjørkelangen 23 1 0 22 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Lillehammer 23 84 32 +52 56
2 Råde 22 70 40 +30 40
3 Elverum 22 61 36 +25 44
4 Sandefjord II 22 54 46 +8 33
5 Drøbak/Frogn 23 52 32 +20 38
6 Sarpsborg 08 II 22 50 53 -3 28
7 Lyn II 22 47 47 0 31
8 Ørn Horten 23 44 36 +8 35
9 Gjøvik-Lyn 23 43 21 +22 41
10 Fram 23 43 49 -6 26
11 Oppsal 23 40 37 +3 33
12 Raelingen 22 39 54 -15 31
13 Brumunddal 23 25 92 -67 12
14 Bjørkelangen 23 17 94 -77 3