Fram vs Råde Statistics & Analysis

Fram

Sep 19, 2026 - 13:00

1 1.34

1 1.26

xG Accuracy: 85%

Råde

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Fram Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8670224

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Fram 1–1 Råde

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 3ª Divisione - Girone 6
Fixture: Fram vs Råde
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
xG (showing): Fram 1.34 — Råde 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 21, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

3ª Divisione - Girone 6 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Lillehammer	19	14	2	3	44
2	Råde	19	12	2	5	38
3	Elverum	19	12	2	5	38
4	Gjøvik-Lyn	19	11	2	6	35
5	Ørn Horten	19	8	5	6	29
6	Lyn II	19	9	2	8	29
7	Raelingen	19	8	4	7	28
8	Oppsal	19	8	3	8	27
9	Drøbak/Frogn	19	7	5	7	26
10	Sandefjord II	19	8	2	9	26
11	Sarpsborg 08 II	19	7	3	9	24
12	Fram	19	6	3	10	21
13	Brumunddal	19	3	3	13	12
14	Bjørkelangen	19	1	0	18	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Råde	19	68	34	+34	38
2	Lillehammer	19	67	28	+39	44
3	Elverum	19	49	31	+18	38
4	Sandefjord II	19	47	41	+6	26
5	Lyn II	19	45	44	+1	29
6	Sarpsborg 08 II	19	44	45	-1	24
7	Drøbak/Frogn	19	37	28	+9	26
8	Raelingen	19	37	45	-8	28
9	Ørn Horten	19	36	31	+5	29
10	Fram	19	35	43	-8	21
11	Oppsal	19	33	30	+3	27
12	Gjøvik-Lyn	19	27	14	+13	35
13	Brumunddal	19	23	80	-57	12
14	Bjørkelangen	19	15	69	-54	3