Statistiche / Calcio / Norvegia. 3ª Divisione - Girone 4 Norvegia / Varhaug vs Madla

Varhaug vs Madla Statistics & Analysis

Varhaug Varhaug
Oct 10, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.32
3 1.28
xG Accuracy: 57%
Madla Madla
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Varhaug Madla ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13194315

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Madla win · Varhaug 1–3 Madla
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 3ª Divisione - Girone 4 Norvegia
  • Fixture: Varhaug vs Madla
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Varhaug 1.32 — Madla 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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3ª Divisione - Girone 4 Norvegia 3ª Divisione - Girone 4 Norvegia — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Madla 23 14 6 3 48
2 Mandalskameratene 23 13 4 6 43
3 Flekkerøy 23 12 3 8 39
4 Vindbjart 23 12 2 9 38
5 Varhaug 23 10 6 7 36
6 Viking II 23 10 5 8 35
7 Brodd 23 10 3 10 33
8 Stabæk II 23 10 3 10 33
9 Våg 23 10 2 11 32
10 Odd II 23 8 5 10 29
11 Staal Jørpeland 23 7 5 11 26
12 Haugesund II 23 7 4 12 25
13 Hinna 23 6 5 12 23
14 Åkra 23 4 3 16 15
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Madla 23 60 28 +32 48
2 Viking II 23 57 34 +23 35
3 Mandalskameratene 23 54 34 +20 43
4 Vindbjart 23 51 31 +20 38
5 Stabæk II 23 48 49 -1 33
6 Flekkerøy 23 45 37 +8 39
7 Staal Jørpeland 23 45 58 -13 26
8 Brodd 23 44 42 +2 33
9 Varhaug 23 42 37 +5 36
10 Haugesund II 23 42 63 -21 25
11 Hinna 23 42 67 -25 23
12 Odd II 23 40 50 -10 29
13 Våg 23 39 38 +1 32
14 Åkra 23 27 68 -41 15
3ª Divisione - Girone 4 Norvegia Norvegia. 3ª Divisione - Girone 4 Norvegia Pronostici