Austevoll vs Askøy Statistics & Analysis

Sep 19, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.32
3 1.28
xG Accuracy: 57%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Austevoll Askøy ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8669825

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result Askøy win · Austevoll 1–3 Askøy
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 3ª Divisione - Girone 3 Norvegia
  • Fixture: Austevoll vs Askøy
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Austevoll 1.32 — Askøy 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 22, 2026 (UTC)

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3ª Divisione - Girone 3 Norvegia 3ª Divisione - Girone 3 NorvegiaClassifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Os 19 15 0 4 45
2 Djerv 20 12 5 3 41
3 Askøy 19 11 6 2 39
4 Fana 19 10 2 7 32
5 Brann II 19 8 6 5 30
6 Vard 19 8 5 6 29
7 Sogndal II 19 8 3 8 27
8 Austevoll 19 7 6 6 27
9 Førde 19 8 3 8 27
10 Åsane II 19 4 6 9 18
11 Stord 20 3 9 8 18
12 Gneist 19 5 2 12 17
13 Varegg 19 4 4 11 16
14 Fyllingsdalen 19 1 3 15 6
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Os 19 69 33 +36 45
2 Djerv 20 51 29 +22 41
3 Sogndal II 19 51 37 +14 27
4 Fana 19 51 40 +11 32
5 Vard 19 48 36 +12 29
6 Brann II 19 42 39 +3 30
7 Stord 20 38 56 -18 18
8 Austevoll 19 37 44 -7 27
9 Askøy 19 36 21 +15 39
10 Gneist 19 34 54 -20 17
11 Førde 19 33 41 -8 27
12 Åsane II 19 32 42 -10 18
13 Varegg 19 27 38 -11 16
14 Fyllingsdalen 19 16 55 -39 6