Strindheim vs Kvik Trondheim Statistics & Analysis

Sep 12, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.37
0 1.23
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Strindheim Strindheim ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7431360

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Strindheim win · Strindheim 1–0 Kvik Trondheim
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 3ª Divisione - Girone 2 Norvegia
  • Fixture: Strindheim vs Kvik Trondheim
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-12 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Strindheim 1.37 — Kvik Trondheim 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
3ª Divisione - Girone 2 Norvegia 3ª Divisione - Girone 2 Norvegia — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Volda 20 13 4 3 43
2 Strindheim 20 12 4 4 40
3 Melhus 20 10 5 5 35
4 Rosenborg II 21 9 4 8 31
5 Byåsen 20 9 4 7 31
6 Molde II 20 8 5 7 29
7 Herd 20 8 4 8 28
8 Spjelkavik 20 7 4 9 25
9 Nardo 19 7 2 10 23
10 Ranheim II 20 6 5 9 23
11 NTNUI 20 5 7 8 22
12 Kvik Trondheim 20 6 3 11 21
13 Orkla 20 5 5 10 20
14 Aalesund II 20 6 2 12 20
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Molde II 20 55 57 -2 29
2 Volda 20 52 22 +30 43
3 Ranheim II 20 52 66 -14 23
4 Rosenborg II 21 49 36 +13 31
5 Melhus 20 48 26 +22 35
6 Strindheim 20 47 30 +17 40
7 Herd 20 45 38 +7 28
8 Byåsen 20 44 39 +5 31
9 Nardo 19 42 43 -1 23
10 Orkla 20 39 55 -16 20
11 Spjelkavik 20 38 43 -5 25
12 Aalesund II 20 37 59 -22 20
13 Kvik Trondheim 20 31 52 -21 21
14 NTNUI 20 29 42 -13 22