Statistiche / Calcio / Norvegia. 3ª Divisione - Girone 1 Norvegia / Union Carl Berner vs Lokomotiv Oslo

Union Carl Berner vs Lokomotiv Oslo Statistics & Analysis

Union Carl Berner Union Carl Berner
Oct 03, 2026 - 12:00
4 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 44%
Lokomotiv Oslo Lokomotiv Oslo
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Union Carl Berner Union Carl Berner ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11224184

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Union Carl Berner win · Union Carl Berner 4–1 Lokomotiv Oslo
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 3ª Divisione - Girone 1 Norvegia
  • Fixture: Union Carl Berner vs Lokomotiv Oslo
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Union Carl Berner 1.32 — Lokomotiv Oslo 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

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3ª Divisione - Girone 1 Norvegia 3ª Divisione - Girone 1 Norvegia — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Asker 20 18 1 1 55
2 Heming 21 13 3 5 42
3 Gamle Oslo 21 13 1 7 40
4 Bærum 21 11 2 8 35
5 Vålerenga II 21 11 1 9 34
6 IF Ready 21 9 6 6 33
7 Frigg 20 9 5 6 32
8 Union Carl Berner 21 10 2 9 32
9 KFUM II 21 7 3 11 24
10 Lokomotiv Oslo 21 7 2 12 23
11 Nordstrand 21 6 2 13 20
12 Ullern 21 6 2 13 20
13 Konnerud 21 5 1 15 16
14 SF Grei 21 5 1 15 16
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Asker 20 71 25 +46 55
2 Gamle Oslo 21 68 41 +27 40
3 Bærum 21 61 39 +22 35
4 Heming 21 53 31 +22 42
5 IF Ready 21 53 42 +11 33
6 Frigg 20 49 44 +5 32
7 Vålerenga II 21 47 58 -11 34
8 KFUM II 21 42 59 -17 24
9 Ullern 21 39 57 -18 20
10 Lokomotiv Oslo 21 39 61 -22 23
11 Union Carl Berner 21 36 31 +5 32
12 Nordstrand 21 36 48 -12 20
13 SF Grei 21 36 69 -33 16
14 Konnerud 21 29 54 -25 16
3ª Divisione - Girone 1 Norvegia Norvegia. 3ª Divisione - Girone 1 Norvegia Pronostici