Statistiche / Calcio / Norvegia. 3ª Divisione - Girone 1 Norvegia / KFUM II vs Ullern

KFUM II vs Ullern Statistics & Analysis

KFUM II KFUM II
Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.27
3 1.33
xG Accuracy: 59%
Ullern Ullern
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Ullern Ullern ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11239043

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Ullern win · KFUM II 1–3 Ullern
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 3ª Divisione - Girone 1 Norvegia
  • Fixture: KFUM II vs Ullern
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
  • xG (showing): KFUM II 1.27 — Ullern 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
3ª Divisione - Girone 1 Norvegia 3ª Divisione - Girone 1 Norvegia — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Asker 21 18 1 2 55
2 Heming 22 13 4 5 43
3 Gamle Oslo 22 13 2 7 41
4 Vålerenga II 22 12 1 9 37
5 IF Ready 22 10 6 6 36
6 Bærum 22 11 2 9 35
7 Union Carl Berner 22 11 2 9 35
8 Frigg 21 9 6 6 33
9 KFUM II 22 7 3 12 24
10 Ullern 22 7 2 13 23
11 Lokomotiv Oslo 22 7 2 13 23
12 Nordstrand 22 6 2 14 20
13 SF Grei 22 6 1 15 19
14 Konnerud 22 5 2 15 17
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Asker 21 74 29 +45 55
2 Gamle Oslo 22 69 42 +27 41
3 Bærum 22 62 41 +21 35
4 Heming 22 58 36 +22 43
5 IF Ready 22 55 43 +12 36
6 Frigg 21 50 45 +5 33
7 Vålerenga II 22 50 58 -8 37
8 KFUM II 22 43 62 -19 24
9 Ullern 22 42 58 -16 23
10 Union Carl Berner 22 40 32 +8 35
11 Lokomotiv Oslo 22 40 65 -25 23
12 SF Grei 22 40 72 -32 19
13 Nordstrand 22 36 51 -15 20
14 Konnerud 22 34 59 -25 17
3ª Divisione - Girone 1 Norvegia Norvegia. 3ª Divisione - Girone 1 Norvegia Pronostici