Lyn vs Stromsgodset Statistics & Analysis

Lyn

Oct 11, 2026 - 15:00

1 1.40

5 1.20

xG Accuracy: 32%

Stromsgodset

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Lyn Stromsgodset ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-5 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13223609

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Stromsgodset win · Lyn 1–5 Stromsgodset

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 1ª Divisione Norvegia
Fixture: Lyn vs Stromsgodset
Kickoff: 2026-10-11 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 30.6%
xG (showing): Lyn 1.4 — Stromsgodset 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 26.5% · Probability edge: +25.4 pts · Est. EV: +86.5%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

1ª Divisione Norvegia — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Kongsvinger	25	17	5	3	56
2	Haugesund	25	18	2	5	56
3	Stromsgodset	25	16	6	3	54
4	Stabaek	25	14	4	7	46
5	ODD Ballklubb	25	12	6	7	42
6	Bryne	25	12	2	11	38
7	Hødd	25	10	4	11	34
8	Egersund	25	9	5	11	32
9	Ranheim	25	9	4	12	31
10	Lyn	25	8	4	13	28
11	Moss	25	8	4	13	28
12	Strommen	25	7	6	12	27
13	Sandnes ULF	25	7	5	13	26
14	Sogndal	24	6	5	13	23
15	Åsane	25	6	5	14	23
16	Raufoss	24	6	1	17	19

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Kongsvinger	25	76	37	+39	56
2	Haugesund	25	75	40	+35	56
3	Stromsgodset	25	66	32	+34	54
4	Ranheim	25	63	64	-1	31
5	Stabaek	25	59	33	+26	46
6	ODD Ballklubb	25	52	39	+13	42
7	Hødd	25	41	51	-10	34
8	Lyn	25	40	54	-14	28
9	Moss	25	40	55	-15	28
10	Strommen	25	40	57	-17	27
11	Egersund	25	39	50	-11	32
12	Sogndal	24	39	55	-16	23
13	Sandnes ULF	25	36	46	-10	26
14	Åsane	25	36	54	-18	23
15	Bryne	25	34	33	+1	38
16	Raufoss	24	27	63	-36	19