Hønefoss W vs Fortuna Ålesund W Statistics & Analysis

Hønefoss W

Aug 31, 2026 - 16:00

0 1.21

1 1.39

xG Accuracy: 64%

Fortuna Ålesund W

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Fortuna Ålesund W Fortuna Ålesund W ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 01:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5124433

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Fortuna Ålesund W win · Hønefoss W 0–1 Fortuna Ålesund W

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Toppserien Norvegia
Fixture: Hønefoss W vs Fortuna Ålesund W
Kickoff: 2026-08-29 11:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
xG (showing): Hønefoss W 1.21 — Fortuna Ålesund W 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Toppserien Norvegia — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Brann Femminile	17	15	2	0	47
2	Fortuna Ålesund W	17	13	2	2	41
3	Rosenborg W	17	11	4	2	37
4	Vålerenga W	17	11	1	5	34
5	Stabæk W	17	7	3	7	24
6	Lyn W	17	6	5	6	23
7	Molde W	17	5	3	9	18
8	Haugesund W	17	5	3	9	18
9	Lillestrøm	17	4	3	10	15
10	Hønefoss W	17	3	4	10	13
11	Røa	17	2	5	10	11
12	Bodø/Glimt	17	1	3	13	6

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Brann Femminile	17	53	4	+49	47
2	Vålerenga W	17	45	24	+21	34
3	Fortuna Ålesund W	17	42	16	+26	41
4	Stabæk W	17	33	20	+13	24
5	Rosenborg W	17	32	19	+13	37
6	Lyn W	17	30	23	+7	23
7	Molde W	17	23	33	-10	18
8	Lillestrøm	17	23	33	-10	15
9	Haugesund W	17	22	40	-18	18
10	Røa	17	16	36	-20	11
11	Hønefoss W	17	13	30	-17	13
12	Bodø/Glimt	17	11	65	-54	6