Statistiche / Calcio / Svezia. Allsvenskan / BK Häcken vs Örgryte IS

BK Häcken vs Örgryte IS Statistics & Analysis

Oct 11, 2026 - 14:30
3 1.46
0 1.53
xG Accuracy: 43%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 BK Häcken BK Häcken ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 0-1, 1-0 3-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13222184

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result BK Häcken win · BK Häcken 3–0 Örgryte IS
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Allsvenskan
  • Fixture: BK Häcken vs Örgryte IS
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 14:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 46.9% · Draw 25.2% · Away 27.8%
  • xG (showing): BK Häcken 1.46 — Örgryte IS 1.53 (total xG ≈ 2.99)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Allsvenskan Allsvenskan — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 51
2 Hammarby FF 22 13 4 5 43
3 Djurgårdens IF 22 13 2 7 41
4 IF Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 37
5 BK Häcken 22 9 9 4 36
6 Västerås SK FK 22 10 5 7 35
7 Malmö FF 22 10 3 9 33
8 AIK Stoccolma 22 9 6 7 33
9 IFK Göteborg 22 9 5 8 32
10 GAIS Göteborg 22 8 6 8 30
11 IF Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 27
12 Mjällby AIF 22 5 7 10 22
13 Kalmar FF 22 5 4 13 19
14 Degerfors IF 22 5 4 13 19
15 Örgryte IS 22 3 6 13 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 14
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Sirius 22 52 28 +24 51
2 Hammarby FF 22 49 20 +29 43
3 Djurgårdens IF 22 47 21 +26 41
4 BK Häcken 22 39 30 +9 36
5 Malmö FF 22 37 33 +4 33
6 Västerås SK FK 22 34 35 -1 35
7 IF Elfsborg 22 31 22 +9 37
8 AIK Stoccolma 22 31 34 -3 33
9 IFK Göteborg 22 31 41 -10 32
10 IF Brommapojkarna 22 30 36 -6 27
11 GAIS Göteborg 22 28 20 +8 30
12 Mjällby AIF 22 27 38 -11 22
13 Örgryte IS 22 25 49 -24 15
14 Kalmar FF 22 21 36 -15 19
15 Degerfors IF 22 19 34 -15 19
16 Halmstad 22 16 40 -24 14
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 BK Häcken 22 2.6 0.1 +2.5 36
2 IFK Göteborg 22 2.9 1.5 +1.4 32
3 Kalmar FF 22 1.6 0.5 +1.1 19
4 AIK Stoccolma 22 7.0 6.3 +0.7 33
5 Sirius 22 1.9 1.2 +0.7 51
6 Malmö FF 22 1.3 0.6 +0.7 33
7 IF Brommapojkarna 22 3.1 3.2 -0.1 27
8 Västerås SK FK 22 0.6 0.9 -0.3 35
9 Hammarby FF 22 1.0 1.4 -0.4 43
10 Degerfors IF 22 0.7 1.2 -0.5 19
11 Djurgårdens IF 22 1.9 2.6 -0.7 41
12 GAIS Göteborg 22 1.2 1.9 -0.7 30
13 Mjällby AIF 22 4.0 5.8 -1.8 22
14 Örgryte IS 22 0.1 2.6 -2.5 15
15 IF Elfsborg 22 — — — 37
16 Halmstad 22 — — — 14