Naples vs NY Cosmos Statistics & Analysis

Oct 03, 2026 - 23:00
2 1.33
1 1.27
xG Accuracy: 77%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Naples Naples ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 04:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11264102

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Naples win · Naples 2–1 NY Cosmos
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: USL League One
  • Fixture: Naples vs NY Cosmos
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 23:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Naples 1.33 — NY Cosmos 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 42.3% · Probability edge: +9.5 pts · Est. EV: +17.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

Ottieni Previsioni Premium per Naples & NY Cosmos!

Sblocca analisi approfondite, consigli esclusivi sulle scommesse e previsioni delle partite con il nostro servizio di abbonamento premium.

Iscriviti Ora
Torna alle Statistiche
USL League One USL League One — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52
4 Boise 30 15 7 8 52
5 One Knoxville 31 14 9 8 51
6 Spokane Velocity 28 15 5 8 50
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 45
9 Naples 30 12 4 14 40
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 36
11 Sarasota Paradise 29 10 6 13 36
12 Corpus Christi 30 9 9 12 36
13 Alta 30 8 9 13 33
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 31
15 NY Cosmos 29 7 4 18 25
16 Greenville Triumph 29 6 6 17 24
17 Richmond Kickers 30 6 5 19 23
18 Tormenta 0 0 0 0 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Charlotte Independence 30 70 42 +28 63
2 Union Omaha 30 53 32 +21 61
3 Forward Madison 30 52 30 +22 52
4 Westchester SC 30 51 48 +3 36
5 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 50 43 +7 46
6 One Knoxville 31 49 36 +13 51
7 Boise 30 47 40 +7 52
8 Fort Wayne 30 46 37 +9 45
9 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 44 55 -11 31
10 Spokane Velocity 28 43 36 +7 50
11 Sarasota Paradise 29 42 45 -3 36
12 Alta 30 37 44 -7 33
13 NY Cosmos 29 36 59 -23 25
14 Naples 30 35 44 -9 40
15 Corpus Christi 30 33 44 -11 36
16 Greenville Triumph 29 32 54 -22 24
17 Richmond Kickers 30 32 63 -31 23
18 Tormenta 0 0 0 0 0