Forward Madison vs Alta Statistics & Analysis

Forward Madison

Sep 19, 2026 - 23:00

3 1.33

0 1.27

xG Accuracy: 45%

Alta

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Forward Madison Forward Madison ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8710884

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Forward Madison win · Forward Madison 3–0 Alta

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: USL League One
Fixture: Forward Madison vs Alta
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 23:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
xG (showing): Forward Madison 1.33 — Alta 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

USL League One — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Union Omaha	28	18	4	6	58
2	Charlotte Independence	27	17	5	5	56
3	Forward Madison	27	15	6	6	51
4	One Knoxville	27	13	8	6	47
5	Boise	27	13	7	7	46
6	Chattanooga Red Wolves	26	13	4	9	43
7	Spokane Velocity	24	12	4	8	40
8	Fort Wayne	26	10	7	9	37
9	Corpus Christi	26	8	9	9	33
10	Alta	28	8	8	12	32
11	Sarasota Paradise	26	8	6	12	30
12	Portland Hearts of Pine	27	7	9	11	30
13	Westchester SC	27	8	5	14	29
14	Naples	26	8	4	14	28
15	Greenville Triumph	26	6	5	15	23
16	NY Cosmos	26	6	4	16	22
17	Richmond Kickers	26	5	5	16	20
18	Tormenta	0	0	0	0	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Charlotte Independence	27	63	39	+24	56
2	Forward Madison	27	50	26	+24	51
3	Union Omaha	28	50	30	+20	58
4	Chattanooga Red Wolves	26	47	38	+9	43
5	Westchester SC	27	46	45	+1	29
6	One Knoxville	27	44	31	+13	47
7	Boise	27	43	37	+6	46
8	Fort Wayne	26	41	35	+6	37
9	Portland Hearts of Pine	27	39	46	-7	30
10	Spokane Velocity	24	36	33	+3	40
11	Alta	28	34	40	-6	32
12	Sarasota Paradise	26	33	39	-6	30
13	NY Cosmos	26	32	52	-20	22
14	Corpus Christi	26	30	36	-6	33
15	Naples	26	29	43	-14	28
16	Greenville Triumph	26	29	48	-19	23
17	Richmond Kickers	26	25	53	-28	20
18	Tormenta	0	0	0	0	0