Statistiche / Calcio / Brasile. Serie A Brasiliana / Fluminense vs Coritiba

Fluminense vs Coritiba Statistics & Analysis

Fluminense Fluminense
Oct 09, 2026 - 00:30
4 1.34
0 0.92
xG Accuracy: 37%
Coritiba Coritiba
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Fluminense Fluminense ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-0, 1-1, 0-0, 0-1, 2-0 4-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 00:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12677223

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Fluminense win · Fluminense 4–0 Coritiba
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Serie A Brasiliana
  • Fixture: Fluminense vs Coritiba
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 00:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 44.8% · Draw 31.1% · Away 24.0%
  • xG (showing): Fluminense 1.34 — Coritiba 0.92 (total xG ≈ 2.26)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Serie A Brasiliana Serie A Brasiliana — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Flamengo 30 19 7 4 64
2 Palmeiras 30 18 9 3 63
3 Atlético Paranaense 30 15 8 7 53
4 Fluminense 30 14 9 7 51
5 Bahia 30 13 10 7 49
6 Cruzeiro 30 14 6 10 48
7 Atlético Mineiro 30 13 8 9 47
8 Santos 30 11 9 10 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 11 7 12 40
10 San Paolo 30 11 6 13 39
11 Coritiba 30 10 9 11 39
12 Vitória 30 10 6 14 36
13 Botafogo 30 9 9 12 36
14 Vasco da Gama 29 9 8 12 35
15 Mirassol 30 8 9 13 33
16 Corinthians 30 8 8 14 32
17 Internacional 30 7 11 12 32
18 Grêmio 30 7 10 13 31
19 Remo 30 5 10 15 25
20 Chapecoense 29 3 9 17 18
20 Chapecoense B 20 1 7 12 10
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Flamengo 30 58 25 +33 64
2 Palmeiras 30 52 22 +30 63
3 Atlético Paranaense 30 49 35 +14 53
4 Fluminense 30 48 37 +11 51
5 Cruzeiro 30 46 44 +2 48
6 Santos 30 46 45 +1 42
7 Bahia 30 44 36 +8 49
8 Botafogo 30 43 48 -5 36
9 Atlético Mineiro 30 41 35 +6 47
10 RB Bragantino 30 38 35 +3 40
11 Coritiba 30 38 48 -10 39
12 Vasco da Gama 29 36 42 -6 35
13 San Paolo 30 35 35 0 39
14 Mirassol 30 34 44 -10 33
15 Internacional 30 33 38 -5 32
16 Vitória 30 33 44 -11 36
17 Remo 30 33 48 -15 25
18 Grêmio 30 32 40 -8 31
19 Corinthians 30 31 38 -7 32
20 Chapecoense 29 30 61 -31 18
21 Chapecoense B 20 19 41 -22 10
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 Bahia 30 15.4 8.7 +6.7 49
2 Flamengo 30 10.7 6.3 +4.4 64
3 Vasco da Gama 29 10.1 6.4 +3.7 35
4 Palmeiras 30 10.8 7.2 +3.6 63
5 Santos 30 11.0 8.0 +3.0 42
6 Atlético Paranaense 30 14.2 11.6 +2.6 53
7 Atlético Mineiro 30 9.1 6.7 +2.4 47
8 San Paolo 30 6.7 5.6 +1.1 39
9 Fluminense 30 9.3 8.5 +0.8 51
10 Corinthians 30 8.0 7.3 +0.7 32
11 Botafogo 30 11.9 12.1 -0.2 36
12 RB Bragantino 30 7.8 8.5 -0.7 40
13 Cruzeiro 30 12.1 13.1 -1.0 48
14 Coritiba 30 6.1 8.0 -1.9 39
15 Mirassol 30 10.3 12.5 -2.2 33
16 Chapecoense 29 9.0 11.3 -2.3 18
17 Remo 30 5.9 8.6 -2.7 25
18 Internacional 30 9.9 14.3 -4.4 32
19 Vitória 30 7.4 13.5 -6.1 36
20 Grêmio 30 6.7 14.3 -7.6 31
21 Chapecoense B 20 — — — 10
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