Statistiche / Calcio / Bulgaria. Terza Lega Bulgara - Sudovest / Levski Sofia II vs Septemvri Sofia II

Levski Sofia II vs Septemvri Sofia II Statistics & Analysis

May 29, 2026 - 07:00
0 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 55%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Levski Sofia II Septemvri Sofia II ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 0-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 05, 2026 · 20:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3073339

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result Septemvri Sofia II win · Levski Sofia II 0–2 Septemvri Sofia II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Terza Lega Bulgara - Sudovest
  • Fixture: Levski Sofia II vs Septemvri Sofia II
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-30 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Levski Sofia II 1.45 — Septemvri Sofia II 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 54.4% · Over 2.5 45.6%); BTTS No (Yes 38.6% · No 61.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 38.6% · No 61.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Terza Lega Bulgara - Sudovest Terza Lega Bulgara - SudovestClassifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 65
3 Slavia Sofia II 34 17 6 11 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 50
7 Oborishte 34 14 7 13 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 49
9 Septemvri Sofia II 34 13 9 12 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 40
16 Pirin Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 18
18 Vitosha Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Strumska Slava 34 71 45 +26 65
2 Slavia Sofia II 34 68 44 +24 57
3 Rilski Sportist 34 58 23 +35 80
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 53 40 +13 51
5 Septemvri Sofia II 34 50 43 +7 48
6 Balkan Botevgrad 34 50 45 +5 49
7 CSKA Sofia III 34 49 43 +6 50
8 Kyustendil 34 49 52 -3 50
9 Kostinbrod 34 47 51 -4 47
10 Vitosha Bistritsa 34 44 62 -18 0
11 Oborishte 34 43 37 +6 49
12 Pirin Razlog 34 43 48 -5 45
13 Pirin Gotse Delchev 34 43 70 -27 37
14 Septemvri Simitli 34 41 40 +1 47
15 Slivnishki Geroy 34 40 49 -9 42
16 Bansko 34 39 45 -6 44
17 Germaneya 34 38 75 -37 18
18 Levski Sofia II 34 30 44 -14 40