Bílovec vs Opava II Statistics & Analysis

Jun 07, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.57
3 1.38
xG Accuracy: 42%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Bílovec Opava II ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-1 0-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 06:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1827632

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Opava II win · Bílovec 0–3 Opava II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie F Ceca
  • Fixture: Bílovec vs Opava II
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-07 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 27.4% · Away 32.1%
  • xG (showing): Bílovec 1.57 — Opava II 1.38 (total xG ≈ 2.95)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 43.5% · Over 2.5 56.5%); BTTS Yes (Yes 60.8% · No 39.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 60.8% · No 39.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.3%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
4. liga - Divizie F Ceca 4. liga - Divizie F Ceca — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Havířov 29 19 2 8 59
2 Vratimov 29 17 3 9 54
3 Bospor Bohumín 29 15 8 6 53
4 Bílovec 29 15 8 6 53
5 Stonava 29 14 6 9 48
6 Valašské Meziříčí 29 11 8 10 41
7 Zábřeh 30 9 12 9 39
8 Šumperk 29 9 12 8 39
9 Opava II 30 11 5 14 38
10 Frýdlant 30 9 11 10 38
11 Jiskra Rýmařov 30 11 4 15 37
12 Petřvald na Moravě 29 9 9 11 36
13 Nový Jičín 29 8 12 9 36
14 Břidličná 30 7 10 13 31
15 Pustá Polom 29 5 9 15 24
16 Cesky Tesin 29 2 7 20 13
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Bospor Bohumín 29 76 48 +28 53
2 Havířov 29 74 36 +38 59
3 Bílovec 29 62 48 +14 53
4 Valašské Meziříčí 29 59 63 -4 41
5 Vratimov 29 54 39 +15 54
6 Stonava 29 54 44 +10 48
7 Opava II 30 52 55 -3 38
8 Petřvald na Moravě 29 49 46 +3 36
9 Zábřeh 30 45 42 +3 39
10 Frýdlant 30 45 54 -9 38
11 Jiskra Rýmařov 30 45 58 -13 37
12 Šumperk 29 36 38 -2 39
13 Pustá Polom 29 36 59 -23 24
14 Nový Jičín 29 35 40 -5 36
15 Břidličná 30 34 46 -12 31
16 Cesky Tesin 29 23 64 -41 13