Statistiche / Calcio / Croazia. Third NL - Jug / Jadran KS vs Vodice

Jadran KS vs Vodice Statistics & Analysis

Jadran KS Jadran KS
May 23, 2026 - 15:30
0 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 63%
Vodice Vodice
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Jadran KS Vodice ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 06, 2026 · 15:28 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3125573

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Vodice win · Jadran KS 0–1 Vodice
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Third NL - Jug
  • Fixture: Jadran KS vs Vodice
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-23 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Jadran KS 1.45 — Vodice 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 50.6% · Over 2.5 49.4%); BTTS No (Yes 34.7% · No 65.3%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 34.7% · No 65.3%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Third NL - Jug Third NL - Jug — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Zagora 30 22 3 5 69
2 Neretva Metković 30 19 6 5 63
3 HNK Zadar 30 18 6 6 60
4 Sloga Mravince 30 13 9 8 48
5 Junak 30 12 6 12 42
6 Jadran KS 30 11 6 13 39
7 GOŠK Kaštel Gomilica 30 10 8 12 38
8 Vodice 30 10 7 13 37
9 Primorac Biograd 30 10 7 13 37
10 Hrvatski vitez 30 11 3 16 36
11 GOŠK Dubrovnik 30 8 11 11 35
12 Val Kaštel Stari 30 10 5 15 35
13 Sibenik 30 9 7 14 34
14 Omiš 30 9 6 15 33
15 Neretvanac Opuzen 30 9 6 15 33
16 Kamen Ivanbegovina 30 8 6 16 30
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Zagora 30 71 32 +39 69
2 HNK Zadar 30 65 27 +38 60
3 Neretva Metković 30 58 26 +32 63
4 Sloga Mravince 30 50 39 +11 48
5 Hrvatski vitez 30 48 60 -12 36
6 Val Kaštel Stari 30 44 57 -13 35
7 Junak 30 43 40 +3 42
8 GOŠK Dubrovnik 30 40 42 -2 35
9 Primorac Biograd 30 39 46 -7 37
10 Omiš 30 37 43 -6 33
11 Jadran KS 30 36 49 -13 39
12 Neretvanac Opuzen 30 34 47 -13 33
13 Vodice 30 33 37 -4 37
14 Sibenik 30 32 49 -17 34
15 GOŠK Kaštel Gomilica 30 31 36 -5 38
16 Kamen Ivanbegovina 30 30 61 -31 30