Svoboda vs Izola Statistics & Analysis

Svoboda

May 09, 2026 - 14:00

2 1.45

2 1.25

xG Accuracy: 70%

Izola

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 draw Pareggio ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 0-2, 2-1 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 19:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1755349

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Svoboda 2–2 Izola

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: 3. SNL - Ovest
Fixture: Svoboda vs Izola
Kickoff: 2026-05-09 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Svoboda 1.45 — Izola 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 34.0% · Over 2.5 66.0%); BTTS Yes (Yes 58.1% · No 41.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 58.1% · No 41.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.3%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

3. SNL - Ovest — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Dob	26	16	8	2	56
2	Jesenice	26	14	7	5	49
3	Izola	26	14	5	7	47
4	Vipava	26	13	4	9	43
5	Dren Vrhnika	26	12	6	8	42
6	Šobec Lesce	26	11	8	7	41
7	Škofja Loka	26	11	8	7	41
8	Svoboda	26	12	4	10	40
9	Rudar Trbovlje	26	9	7	10	34
10	Šencur	26	10	2	14	32
11	Žiri	26	8	4	14	28
12	Bistrc	26	7	4	15	25
13	Adria	26	6	4	16	22
14	Kranj	26	3	1	22	10

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Dob	26	56	21	+35	56
2	Svoboda	26	56	36	+20	40
3	Rudar Trbovlje	26	52	54	-2	34
4	Jesenice	26	51	28	+23	49
5	Bistrc	26	50	71	-21	25
6	Izola	26	48	23	+25	47
7	Vipava	26	47	38	+9	43
8	Šencur	26	46	50	-4	32
9	Žiri	26	43	51	-8	28
10	Škofja Loka	26	39	34	+5	41
11	Dren Vrhnika	26	35	29	+6	42
12	Adria	26	34	60	-26	22
13	Šobec Lesce	26	30	26	+4	41
14	Kranj	26	22	88	-66	10