Statistiche / Calcio / Italia. Campionato Primavera 2 / Virtus Entella U19 vs Como U19

Virtus Entella U19 vs Como U19 Statistics & Analysis

May 09, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 70%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 draw Pareggio ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 2-1, 1-0 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 07, 2026 · 05:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3159405

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Virtus Entella U19 2–2 Como U19
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Campionato Primavera 2
  • Fixture: Virtus Entella U19 vs Como U19
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Virtus Entella U19 1.45 — Como U19 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 45.8% · Over 2.5 54.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 77.1% · No 22.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 77.1% · No 22.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.7%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Campionato Primavera 2 Campionato Primavera 2 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 46
6 Pro Vercelli Primavera 30 14 4 12 46
7 Virtus Entella U19 30 10 13 7 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 41
9 Vicenza Primavera 30 10 8 12 38
10 Sudtirol Primavera 30 9 10 11 37
11 Udinese U20 30 9 9 12 36
12 Cittadella Primavera 30 9 9 12 36
13 Renate Primavera 30 7 12 11 33
14 FeralpiSalò U19 30 9 3 18 30
15 Venezia Primavera 30 6 8 16 26
16 Padova Primavera 30 6 7 17 25
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Lecco U19 30 65 50 +15 60
2 Como U19 30 58 31 +27 61
3 Reggiana U19 30 58 44 +14 46
4 Sampdoria U19 30 57 48 +9 41
5 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 57 58 -1 47
6 Modena U19 30 55 38 +17 55
7 Udinese U20 30 52 50 +2 36
8 Virtus Entella U19 30 47 38 +9 43
9 Vicenza Primavera 30 45 53 -8 38
10 Pro Vercelli Primavera 30 44 46 -2 46
11 Cittadella Primavera 30 42 49 -7 36
12 Sudtirol Primavera 30 35 35 0 37
13 Renate Primavera 30 34 44 -10 33
14 Padova Primavera 30 34 53 -19 25
15 Venezia Primavera 30 32 63 -31 26
16 FeralpiSalò U19 30 31 46 -15 30