Statistiche / Calcio / Austria. Landesliga - Wien / Red Star Penzing vs Wienerberg

Red Star Penzing vs Wienerberg Statistics & Analysis

Red Star Penzing Red Star Penzing
May 10, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.45
4 1.25
xG Accuracy: 42%
Wienerberg Wienerberg
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Red Star Penzing Wienerberg ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 0-2, 1-3 1-4 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 17:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3460081

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Wienerberg win · Red Star Penzing 1–4 Wienerberg
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Landesliga - Wien
  • Fixture: Red Star Penzing vs Wienerberg
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-10 21:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Red Star Penzing 1.45 — Wienerberg 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 43.4% · Over 2.5 56.6%); BTTS Yes (Yes 77.4% · No 22.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 77.4% · No 22.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.7%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Landesliga - Wien Landesliga - Wien — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Wienerberg 28 22 4 2 70
2 Dinamo Helfort 27 18 5 4 59
3 LAC-Inter 28 16 5 7 53
4 1980 Wien 28 12 9 7 45
5 Red Star Penzing 26 12 7 7 43
6 First Vienna II 25 12 6 7 42
7 Austria XIII 26 10 8 8 38
8 Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 25 9 6 10 33
9 Vorwärts Brigittenau 27 9 3 15 30
10 Schwechat 27 9 2 16 29
11 Hellas Kagran 28 7 8 13 29
12 Slovan HAC 26 8 3 15 27
13 FAC Wien 25 7 5 13 26
14 Simmeringer SC 27 5 6 16 21
15 Stadlau 26 4 7 15 19
16 Mauerwerk 11 2 2 7 8
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Wienerberg 28 75 21 +54 70
2 Dinamo Helfort 27 56 26 +30 59
3 1980 Wien 28 55 48 +7 45
4 LAC-Inter 28 54 33 +21 53
5 First Vienna II 25 49 25 +24 42
6 Red Star Penzing 26 43 33 +10 43
7 Schwechat 27 43 47 -4 29
8 Austria XIII 26 41 38 +3 38
9 FAC Wien 25 40 47 -7 26
10 Slovan HAC 26 36 46 -10 27
11 Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 25 32 39 -7 33
12 Hellas Kagran 28 32 51 -19 29
13 Stadlau 26 25 44 -19 19
14 Simmeringer SC 27 25 58 -33 21
15 Vorwärts Brigittenau 27 23 57 -34 30
16 Mauerwerk 11 8 24 -16 8