Statistiche / Calcio / Austria. Landesliga - Tirol / Kematen vs Telfs

Kematen vs Telfs Statistics & Analysis

Kematen Kematen
May 09, 2026 - 15:00
3 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 46%
Telfs Telfs
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 draw Kematen ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-2, 1-1, 2-2, 2-1, 1-3 3-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 04:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1549961

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Kematen win · Kematen 3–0 Telfs
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Landesliga - Tirol
  • Fixture: Kematen vs Telfs
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-10 08:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Kematen 1.45 — Telfs 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 26.1% · Over 2.5 73.9%); BTTS Yes (Yes 79.5% · No 20.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 79.5% · No 20.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-2 (8.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Landesliga - Tirol Landesliga - Tirol — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 St. Johann in Tirol 24 17 3 4 54
2 Swarovski Tirol II 23 16 5 2 53
3 Fügen 25 17 2 6 53
4 Innsbrucker AC 24 11 4 9 37
5 Kundl 23 11 2 10 35
6 Ebbs 25 10 5 10 35
7 Völs 23 8 9 6 33
8 Telfs 24 9 2 13 29
9 Oberperfuss 25 9 2 14 29
10 Silz / Mötz 25 9 1 15 28
11 Kematen 25 6 7 12 25
12 Wörgl 23 8 1 14 25
13 Mils 23 5 6 12 21
14 Volders 24 5 5 14 20
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Fügen 25 66 35 +31 53
2 St. Johann in Tirol 24 56 24 +32 54
3 Swarovski Tirol II 23 54 21 +33 53
4 Silz / Mötz 25 50 58 -8 28
5 Kundl 23 49 37 +12 35
6 Ebbs 25 49 40 +9 35
7 Oberperfuss 25 47 59 -12 29
8 Telfs 24 45 49 -4 29
9 Innsbrucker AC 24 43 34 +9 37
10 Kematen 25 41 59 -18 25
11 Völs 23 34 34 0 33
12 Mils 23 30 55 -25 21
13 Wörgl 23 28 56 -28 25
14 Volders 24 28 59 -31 20