Statistiche / Calcio / Austria. Landesliga - Steiermark / Lebring vs Wildon

Lebring vs Wildon Statistics & Analysis

Lebring Lebring
May 23, 2026 - 15:00
3 1.45
6 1.25
xG Accuracy: 18%
Wildon Wildon
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (9 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Lebring Wildon ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 0-1 3-6 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 22:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2902852

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Wildon win · Lebring 3–6 Wildon
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Landesliga - Steiermark
  • Fixture: Lebring vs Wildon
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-23 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Lebring 1.45 — Wildon 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 30.3% · Over 2.5 69.7%); BTTS Yes (Yes 89.2% · No 10.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 89.2% · No 10.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (8.8%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Landesliga - Steiermark Landesliga - Steiermark — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Tillmitsch 30 22 4 4 70
2 FSC Hochegger Dächer 30 19 4 7 61
3 Allerheiligen 30 17 8 5 59
4 Wildon 30 16 8 6 56
5 Ilz 30 16 7 7 55
6 Lebring 30 15 5 10 50
7 Fürstenfeld 30 10 11 9 41
8 Bad Waltersdorf 30 11 5 14 38
9 Gnas 30 9 8 13 35
10 Bruck an der Mur 30 9 7 14 34
11 Schladming 30 6 14 10 32
12 UFC Fehring 30 7 10 13 31
13 Köflach 30 6 9 14 27
14 Pachern 30 7 6 17 27
15 Union RB Weinland Gamlit 30 7 6 17 27
16 Leoben 30 5 2 23 17
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 FSC Hochegger Dächer 30 81 33 +48 61
2 Allerheiligen 30 80 49 +31 59
3 Tillmitsch 30 73 37 +36 70
4 Wildon 30 69 42 +27 56
5 Ilz 30 68 42 +26 55
6 Lebring 30 66 57 +9 50
7 Bad Waltersdorf 30 57 59 -2 38
8 Fürstenfeld 30 49 45 +4 41
9 UFC Fehring 30 46 67 -21 31
10 Gnas 30 44 53 -9 35
11 Köflach 30 43 62 -19 27
12 Pachern 30 43 62 -19 27
13 Bruck an der Mur 30 39 64 -25 34
14 Union RB Weinland Gamlit 30 36 61 -25 27
15 Schladming 30 34 48 -14 32
16 Leoben 30 34 83 -49 17