FSC Hochegger Dächer vs Union RB Weinland Gamlit Statistics & Analysis

FSC Hochegger Dächer

May 09, 2026 - 15:00

2 1.45

0 1.25

xG Accuracy: 61%

Union RB Weinland Gamlit

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 FSC Hochegger Dächer FSC Hochegger Dächer ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 2-1, 1-1, 2-0, 1-0, 3-1 2-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 28, 2026 · 13:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2205263

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result FSC Hochegger Dächer win · FSC Hochegger Dächer 2–0 Union RB Weinland Gamlit

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Landesliga - Steiermark
Fixture: FSC Hochegger Dächer vs Union RB Weinland Gamlit
Kickoff: 2026-05-09 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): FSC Hochegger Dächer 1.45 — Union RB Weinland Gamlit 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 35.9% · Over 2.5 64.1%); BTTS Yes (Yes 67.5% · No 32.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 67.5% · No 32.5%
Correct score (top bin): 2-1 (9.8%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Landesliga - Steiermark — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Tillmitsch	30	22	4	4	70
2	FSC Hochegger Dächer	30	19	4	7	61
3	Allerheiligen	30	17	8	5	59
4	Wildon	30	16	8	6	56
5	Ilz	30	16	7	7	55
6	Lebring	30	15	5	10	50
7	Fürstenfeld	30	10	11	9	41
8	Bad Waltersdorf	30	11	5	14	38
9	Gnas	30	9	8	13	35
10	Bruck an der Mur	30	9	7	14	34
11	Schladming	30	6	14	10	32
12	UFC Fehring	30	7	10	13	31
13	Köflach	30	6	9	14	27
14	Pachern	30	7	6	17	27
15	Union RB Weinland Gamlit	30	7	6	17	27
16	Leoben	30	5	2	23	17

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	FSC Hochegger Dächer	30	81	33	+48	61
2	Allerheiligen	30	80	49	+31	59
3	Tillmitsch	30	73	37	+36	70
4	Wildon	30	69	42	+27	56
5	Ilz	30	68	42	+26	55
6	Lebring	30	66	57	+9	50
7	Bad Waltersdorf	30	57	59	-2	38
8	Fürstenfeld	30	49	45	+4	41
9	UFC Fehring	30	46	67	-21	31
10	Gnas	30	44	53	-9	35
11	Köflach	30	43	62	-19	27
12	Pachern	30	43	62	-19	27
13	Bruck an der Mur	30	39	64	-25	34
14	Union RB Weinland Gamlit	30	36	61	-25	27
15	Schladming	30	34	48	-14	32
16	Leoben	30	34	83	-49	17