Bad Ischl vs Ostermiething Statistics & Analysis

Jun 06, 2026 - 15:00
2 1.60
0 1.56
xG Accuracy: 58%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Bad Ischl Bad Ischl ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-1 2-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 19:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1628502

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bad Ischl win · Bad Ischl 2–0 Ostermiething
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Landesliga - Oberosterreich
  • Fixture: Bad Ischl vs Ostermiething
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-05 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.7% · Draw 26.3% · Away 36.0%
  • xG (showing): Bad Ischl 1.6 — Ostermiething 1.56 (total xG ≈ 3.16)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 38.8% · Over 2.5 61.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 64.4% · No 35.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 64.4% · No 35.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Landesliga - Oberosterreich Landesliga - Oberosterreich — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 SK Vorwärts Steyr 29 18 5 6 59
2 Vortuna Bad Leonfelden 28 17 3 8 54
3 Bad Schallerbach 29 15 5 9 50
4 Union Perg 28 13 10 5 49
5 Weißkirchen / Allhaming 27 13 6 8 45
6 Friedburg / Pöndorf 27 12 8 7 44
7 Union Edelweiß 29 12 8 9 44
8 Mondsee 29 12 6 11 42
9 Ostermiething 28 12 4 12 40
10 Union Vöcklamarkt 28 11 6 11 39
11 St. Martin i.M. 28 10 8 10 38
12 Oedt 25 9 5 11 32
13 Bad Ischl 29 9 3 17 30
14 Pregarten 28 5 6 17 21
15 Gschwandt 28 5 5 18 20
16 Grün Weiß Micheldorf 28 4 6 18 18
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Friedburg / Pöndorf 27 63 48 +15 44
2 Vortuna Bad Leonfelden 28 61 41 +20 54
3 SK Vorwärts Steyr 29 59 27 +32 59
4 St. Martin i.M. 28 55 54 +1 38
5 Ostermiething 28 52 51 +1 40
6 Bad Schallerbach 29 51 31 +20 50
7 Union Perg 28 47 32 +15 49
8 Mondsee 29 47 41 +6 42
9 Oedt 25 47 42 +5 32
10 Weißkirchen / Allhaming 27 46 35 +11 45
11 Union Vöcklamarkt 28 39 40 -1 39
12 Bad Ischl 29 39 73 -34 30
13 Union Edelweiß 29 37 34 +3 44
14 Grün Weiß Micheldorf 28 25 55 -30 18
15 Gschwandt 28 23 66 -43 20
16 Pregarten 28 22 43 -21 21