Ostermiething vs Union Perg Statistics & Analysis

Ostermiething

May 16, 2026 - 15:00

1 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 82%

Union Perg

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 draw Pareggio ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 0-1, 2-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 17:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1479437

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Ostermiething 1–1 Union Perg

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Landesliga - Oberosterreich
Fixture: Ostermiething vs Union Perg
Kickoff: 2026-05-15 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Ostermiething 1.45 — Union Perg 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 35.9% · Over 2.5 64.1%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.9%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Landesliga - Oberosterreich — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	SK Vorwärts Steyr	29	18	5	6	59
2	Vortuna Bad Leonfelden	28	17	3	8	54
3	Bad Schallerbach	29	15	5	9	50
4	Union Perg	28	13	10	5	49
5	Weißkirchen / Allhaming	27	13	6	8	45
6	Friedburg / Pöndorf	27	12	8	7	44
7	Union Edelweiß	29	12	8	9	44
8	Mondsee	29	12	6	11	42
9	Ostermiething	28	12	4	12	40
10	Union Vöcklamarkt	28	11	6	11	39
11	St. Martin i.M.	28	10	8	10	38
12	Oedt	25	9	5	11	32
13	Bad Ischl	29	9	3	17	30
14	Pregarten	28	5	6	17	21
15	Gschwandt	28	5	5	18	20
16	Grün Weiß Micheldorf	28	4	6	18	18

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Friedburg / Pöndorf	27	63	48	+15	44
2	Vortuna Bad Leonfelden	28	61	41	+20	54
3	SK Vorwärts Steyr	29	59	27	+32	59
4	St. Martin i.M.	28	55	54	+1	38
5	Ostermiething	28	52	51	+1	40
6	Bad Schallerbach	29	51	31	+20	50
7	Union Perg	28	47	32	+15	49
8	Mondsee	29	47	41	+6	42
9	Oedt	25	47	42	+5	32
10	Weißkirchen / Allhaming	27	46	35	+11	45
11	Union Vöcklamarkt	28	39	40	-1	39
12	Bad Ischl	29	39	73	-34	30
13	Union Edelweiß	29	37	34	+3	44
14	Grün Weiß Micheldorf	28	25	55	-30	18
15	Gschwandt	28	23	66	-43	20
16	Pregarten	28	22	43	-21	21