San Clemente vs Albacete II Statistics & Analysis

San Clemente

May 10, 2026 - 16:00

0 1.45

2 1.25

xG Accuracy: 55%

Albacete II

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
1X2 draw Albacete II ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 0-1, 1-1, 0-0, 0-2, 1-0 0-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 04:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1549781

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Albacete II win · San Clemente 0–2 Albacete II

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): +37.5%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 18
Fixture: San Clemente vs Albacete II
Kickoff: 2026-05-10 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): San Clemente 1.45 — Albacete II 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 65.0% · Over 2.5 35.0%); BTTS No (Yes 46.5% · No 53.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 46.5% · No 53.5%
Correct score (top bin): 0-1 (15.9%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 18 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Calvo Sotelo	34	22	8	4	74
2	Tarancón	34	22	7	5	73
3	Toledo	34	19	11	4	68
4	Albacete II	34	17	13	4	64
5	Manchego	34	18	7	9	61
6	Villarrubia	34	15	8	11	53
7	Villacañas	34	12	12	10	48
8	San Clemente	34	12	11	11	47
9	Guadalajara II	34	11	11	13	44
10	Villarrobledo	34	10	13	11	43
11	Huracán Balazote	34	12	5	17	41
12	Illescas	34	8	13	13	37
13	Marchamalo	34	10	7	17	37
14	La Solana	34	8	11	15	35
15	Azuqueca	34	7	14	14	34
16	Pedroñeras	34	7	12	15	33
17	Sonseca	34	5	7	22	22
18	Cazalegas	34	4	6	24	18

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Tarancón	34	62	25	+37	73
2	Toledo	34	55	17	+38	68
3	Calvo Sotelo	34	54	21	+33	74
4	Manchego	34	52	29	+23	61
5	Albacete II	34	49	17	+32	64
6	Villarrubia	34	42	35	+7	53
7	Marchamalo	34	37	45	-8	37
8	San Clemente	34	36	44	-8	47
9	Azuqueca	34	34	39	-5	34
10	Huracán Balazote	34	31	44	-13	41
11	Villacañas	34	30	26	+4	48
12	Villarrobledo	34	30	36	-6	43
13	Guadalajara II	34	30	37	-7	44
14	Pedroñeras	34	28	44	-16	33
15	Sonseca	34	28	69	-41	22
16	La Solana	34	26	38	-12	35
17	Illescas	34	21	32	-11	37
18	Cazalegas	34	17	64	-47	18