Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 17 / Cariñena vs Calamocha

Cariñena vs Calamocha Statistics & Analysis

Cariñena Cariñena
May 10, 2026 - 15:30
0 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 63%
Calamocha Calamocha
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 draw Calamocha ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 0-1, 1-1, 0-2, 0-0, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 05, 2026 · 12:20 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3048062

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Calamocha win · Cariñena 0–1 Calamocha
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 17
  • Fixture: Cariñena vs Calamocha
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-10 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Cariñena 1.45 — Calamocha 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 58.3% · Over 2.5 41.7%); BTTS Yes (Yes 57.4% · No 42.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 57.4% · No 42.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 0-1 (13.8%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 17 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 17 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 75
2 Cuarte 34 20 14 0 74
3 Atlético Monzón 34 22 5 7 71
4 Épila 34 19 10 5 67
5 Caspe 34 13 14 7 53
6 Huesca II 34 14 10 10 52
7 Binéfar 34 14 6 14 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 47
9 Almudévar 34 12 8 14 44
10 CDJ Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 39
12 Illueca 34 9 11 14 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 36
14 Cariñena 34 5 17 12 32
15 Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 32
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 16
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Atlético Monzón 34 72 37 +35 71
2 Binéfar 34 58 47 +11 48
3 Huesca II 34 52 33 +19 52
4 Calamocha 34 49 22 +27 75
5 Cuarte 34 43 12 +31 74
6 La Almunia 34 42 38 +4 47
7 CDJ Tamarite 34 41 47 -6 41
8 UD Casetas 34 40 56 -16 30
9 Épila 34 39 20 +19 67
10 Caspe 34 38 26 +12 53
11 Robres 34 38 49 -11 36
12 Utrillas 34 36 57 -21 29
13 Andorra CF 34 35 45 -10 39
14 Cariñena 34 35 45 -10 32
15 Illueca 34 35 51 -16 38
16 Almudévar 34 34 39 -5 44
17 Belchite 97 34 28 43 -15 32
18 Zuera 34 17 65 -48 16
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 17 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 17 Pronostici