Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 16 / Yagüe vs Calahorra

Yagüe vs Calahorra Statistics & Analysis

Yagüe Yagüe
May 09, 2026 - 16:45
4 1.45
4 1.25
xG Accuracy: 23%
Calahorra Calahorra
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (8 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 draw Pareggio ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 0-1, 0-2, 1-1, 1-2, 0-3 4-4 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 31, 2026 · 03:42 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2566729

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Yagüe 4–4 Calahorra
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 16
  • Fixture: Yagüe vs Calahorra
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-10 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Yagüe 1.45 — Calahorra 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 42.3% · Over 2.5 57.7%); BTTS Yes (Yes 56.6% · No 43.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 56.6% · No 43.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 0-1 (10.0%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 16 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 16 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 UD Logroñés B 34 26 8 0 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72
4 Calahorra 34 17 12 5 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 47
9 Vianés 34 11 8 14 42
10 Yagüe 34 9 13 12 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39
12 La Calzada 34 10 8 16 38
13 Berceo 34 10 8 15 38
14 Comillas 34 11 6 18 38
15 Pradejón 34 9 8 17 35
16 Villegas 34 7 8 20 29
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 18
18 Peña Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 11
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 UD Logroñés B 34 99 22 +77 86
2 Calahorra 34 86 26 +60 63
3 Arnedo 34 72 26 +46 72
4 Agoncillo 34 59 49 +10 47
5 Oyonesa 34 54 41 +13 61
6 Haro Deportivo 34 54 46 +8 51
7 Varea 34 51 25 +26 73
8 Anguiano 34 49 36 +13 60
9 Yagüe 34 48 52 -4 40
10 Berceo 34 42 50 -8 38
11 Vianés 34 39 51 -12 42
12 La Calzada 34 39 55 -16 38
13 San Marcial 34 39 59 -20 39
14 Villegas 34 36 66 -30 29
15 Comillas 34 32 58 -26 38
16 Pradejón 34 30 48 -18 35
17 Peña Balsamaiso 34 27 86 -59 11
18 Autol 34 20 80 -60 18
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 16 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 16 Pronostici