Tamaraceite vs Tenisca Statistics & Analysis

May 10, 2026 - 11:00
5 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 35%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Tamaraceite Tamaraceite ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 5-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 16:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1616393

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Tamaraceite win · Tamaraceite 5–1 Tenisca
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 12
  • Fixture: Tamaraceite vs Tenisca
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-10 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Tamaraceite 1.45 — Tenisca 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 49.4% · Over 2.5 50.6%); BTTS No (Yes 43.0% · No 57.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 43.0% · No 57.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (11.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 12 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 12 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Atlético Paso 34 18 13 3 67
2 Tenerife 13 7 4 2 25
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 66
3 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 63
4 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 63
5 Panadería Pulido 34 15 10 9 55
6 Las Palmas III 34 15 9 10 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 52
8 Villa Santa Brígida 34 15 5 14 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 48
10 Real Unión de Tenerife 34 12 9 13 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 39
12 Marino 34 8 15 11 39
12 San Miguel 28 7 9 13 29
13 Unión Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 38
14 San Bartolomé 34 8 12 14 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 32
17 Tenisca 34 6 7 21 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 25
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Las Palmas III 34 58 42 +16 54
2 Tamaraceite 34 56 36 +20 63
3 Atlético Paso 34 51 19 +32 67
4 Mensajero 34 51 31 +20 63
5 UD San Fernando 34 49 23 +26 66
6 Tenerife C 34 49 46 +3 52
7 Panadería Pulido 34 47 33 +14 55
8 Lanzarote 34 45 36 +9 48
9 Marino 34 44 40 +4 39
10 Villa Santa Brígida 34 42 35 +7 50
11 Herbania 34 39 58 -19 32
12 San Miguel 34 37 43 -6 39
13 Real Unión de Tenerife 34 34 32 +2 45
14 Unión Sur Yaiza 34 33 43 -10 38
15 Tenisca 34 32 68 -36 25
16 Arucas 34 31 47 -16 33
17 San Bartolomé 34 30 55 -25 36
18 Telde 34 30 71 -41 25
19 San Miguel 28 29 38 -9 29
20 Tenerife 13 23 15 +8 25