Binissalem vs Son Cladera Statistics & Analysis

Binissalem

May 10, 2026 - 10:00

2 1.45

0 1.25

xG Accuracy: 61%

Son Cladera

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
1X2 Binissalem Binissalem ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 0-0, 2-1 2-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 05, 2026 · 20:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3073521

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Binissalem win · Binissalem 2–0 Son Cladera

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 11
Fixture: Binissalem vs Son Cladera
Kickoff: 2026-05-10 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Binissalem 1.45 — Son Cladera 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 58.3% · Over 2.5 41.7%); BTTS No (Yes 34.7% · No 65.3%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 34.7% · No 65.3%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (13.1%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 23, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 11 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Mallorca B	34	26	6	2	84
2	Manacor	34	24	5	5	77
3	Peña Deportiva	34	20	8	6	68
4	Constància	34	19	5	10	62
5	Llosetense	34	16	10	8	58
6	Formentera	34	13	13	8	52
7	Inter Ibiza	34	15	5	14	50
8	Mercadal	34	15	5	15	49
9	Cardassar	34	12	8	14	44
10	Platges Calvià	34	12	6	16	42
11	Binissalem	34	10	11	13	41
12	Santanyí	34	11	8	15	41
13	Alcúdia	34	11	6	18	39
14	Son Cladera	34	11	5	18	38
15	Portmany	34	8	6	20	30
16	Collerense	34	6	10	18	28
17	Felanitx	34	5	11	18	26
18	Rotlet Molinar	34	5	8	21	23
19	Campos	0	0	0	0	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Mallorca B	34	105	22	+83	84
2	Manacor	34	70	39	+31	77
3	Peña Deportiva	34	69	30	+39	68
4	Constància	34	62	29	+33	62
5	Llosetense	34	59	40	+19	58
6	Inter Ibiza	34	42	43	-1	50
7	Santanyí	34	42	58	-16	41
8	Platges Calvià	34	41	42	-1	42
9	Son Cladera	34	41	63	-22	38
10	Formentera	34	40	29	+11	52
11	Cardassar	34	38	55	-17	44
12	Collerense	34	38	63	-25	28
13	Alcúdia	34	36	59	-23	39
14	Rotlet Molinar	34	34	69	-35	23
15	Felanitx	34	32	62	-30	26
16	Mercadal	34	31	44	-13	49
17	Binissalem	34	26	34	-8	41
18	Portmany	34	25	50	-25	30
19	Campos	0	0	0	0	0