Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Marbelli Statistics & Analysis

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno

May 10, 2026 - 10:00

0 1.45

2 1.25

xG Accuracy: 55%

Marbelli

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Marbelli ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 0-1, 1-1, 0-0, 1-0, 0-2 0-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 22:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1770364

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Marbelli win · Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 0–2 Marbelli

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 9
Fixture: Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Marbelli
Kickoff: 2026-05-10 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 1.45 — Marbelli 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 66.3% · Over 2.5 33.7%); BTTS Yes (Yes 55.1% · No 44.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 55.1% · No 44.9%
Correct score (top bin): 0-1 (13.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 9 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Mijas Las Lagunas	34	19	9	6	66
2	Motril	34	18	11	5	65
3	Torre del Mar	34	14	13	7	55
4	Arenas Armilla	34	15	9	10	54
5	Churriana Vega	34	14	10	10	52
6	Marbelli	34	14	9	11	51
7	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno	34	13	11	10	50
8	UD San Pedro	34	13	10	11	49
9	Atlético Porcuna	34	14	4	16	46
10	Huétor Vega	34	12	9	13	45
11	Granada B	34	10	14	10	44
12	Alhaurino	34	11	10	13	43
13	UD Melilla II	34	9	12	13	39
14	Mancha Real	34	9	10	15	37
15	Huétor Tájar	34	9	10	15	37
16	Martos	34	9	10	15	37
17	Torreperogil	34	9	6	19	33
18	El Palo	34	6	9	19	27

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Motril	34	55	29	+26	65
2	Granada B	34	49	47	+2	44
3	Mijas Las Lagunas	34	46	24	+22	66
4	Huétor Vega	34	43	42	+1	45
5	Atlético Porcuna	34	41	39	+2	46
6	Alhaurino	34	41	41	0	43
7	Huétor Tájar	34	40	44	-4	37
8	UD San Pedro	34	39	37	+2	49
9	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno	34	39	38	+1	50
10	Arenas Armilla	34	38	29	+9	54
11	Torre del Mar	34	37	26	+11	55
12	Marbelli	34	36	28	+8	51
13	Churriana Vega	34	32	40	-8	52
14	Martos	34	32	48	-16	37
15	UD Melilla II	34	30	32	-2	39
16	Mancha Real	34	30	38	-8	37
17	El Palo	34	28	53	-25	27
18	Torreperogil	34	24	45	-21	33