Utiel vs Vall de Uxó Statistics & Analysis

Utiel

May 09, 2026 - 16:30

1 1.45

0 1.25

xG Accuracy: 63%

Vall de Uxó

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
1X2 draw Utiel ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 0-1, 0-0, 1-1, 1-0, 0-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 10, 2026 · 19:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3572461

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Utiel win · Utiel 1–0 Vall de Uxó

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 6
Fixture: Utiel vs Vall de Uxó
Kickoff: 2026-05-10 14:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Utiel 1.45 — Vall de Uxó 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 67.7% · Over 2.5 32.3%); BTTS No (Yes 42.4% · No 57.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 42.4% · No 57.6%
Correct score (top bin): 0-1 (15.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 6 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Castellonense	34	20	7	7	67
2	Saguntino	34	20	6	8	66
3	Levante B	34	18	11	5	65
4	Villarreal C	34	19	6	9	63
5	La Nucía	34	16	13	5	61
6	Buñol	34	13	11	10	50
7	Vall de Uxó	34	13	10	11	49
8	Ontinyent 1931	34	13	9	12	48
9	Torrellano	34	13	8	13	47
10	Soneja	34	13	6	15	45
11	Hércules B	34	10	11	13	41
12	Roda	34	11	7	16	40
13	Crevillente Deportivo	34	9	11	14	38
14	Jove Español	34	10	8	16	38
15	Atzeneta UE	34	10	7	17	37
16	Utiel	34	7	10	17	31
17	Alzira	34	7	10	17	31
18	RC Catarroja	34	2	13	19	19

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Villarreal C	34	64	36	+28	63
2	Castellonense	34	56	30	+26	67
3	Levante B	34	54	26	+28	65
4	Saguntino	34	50	30	+20	66
5	La Nucía	34	44	26	+18	61
6	Crevillente Deportivo	34	44	49	-5	38
7	Torrellano	34	40	38	+2	47
8	Soneja	34	35	42	-7	45
9	Jove Español	34	35	44	-9	38
10	Buñol	34	34	40	-6	50
11	Ontinyent 1931	34	32	30	+2	48
12	Roda	34	32	45	-13	40
13	Alzira	34	32	49	-17	31
14	Vall de Uxó	34	31	29	+2	49
15	Hércules B	34	31	46	-15	41
16	Utiel	34	30	45	-15	31
17	Atzeneta UE	34	29	40	-11	37
18	RC Catarroja	34	27	55	-28	19