FK Zlatibor vs Jošanica Statistics & Analysis

FK Zlatibor

May 16, 2026 - 15:00

5 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 35%

Jošanica

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
1X2 FK Zlatibor FK Zlatibor ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-0, 1-1, 0-0, 0-1, 2-0 5-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 07, 2026 · 19:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3208004

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result FK Zlatibor win · FK Zlatibor 5–1 Jošanica

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Srpska Liga - West
Fixture: FK Zlatibor vs Jošanica
Kickoff: 2026-05-16 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): FK Zlatibor 1.45 — Jošanica 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 63.6% · Over 2.5 36.4%); BTTS No (Yes 40.6% · No 59.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 40.6% · No 59.4%
Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (14.0%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Srpska Liga - West — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Metalac GM	30	20	8	2	68
2	Real Podunavci	30	13	10	7	49
3	FK Radnički Valjevo	30	13	5	12	44
4	Železničar Lajkovac	30	11	10	9	43
5	Omladinac Zablaće	30	10	12	8	42
6	FK Zlatibor	31	11	8	12	41
7	Sloboda Užice	30	9	14	7	41
8	Budućnost Krušik	30	10	10	10	40
9	Jedinstvo Putevi	30	11	6	13	39
10	FK Šumadija 1903 Kragujevac	30	9	12	9	39
11	Napredak Markovac	30	8	14	8	38
12	Takovo	30	9	10	11	37
13	Sloga Požega	30	9	9	12	36
14	FK Mladi Radnik 1940 Radinac	30	9	7	14	34
15	Jošanica	30	6	10	14	28
16	FK Polimlje Prijepolje	30	5	9	16	24

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Metalac GM	30	52	17	+35	68
2	FK Radnički Valjevo	30	43	38	+5	44
3	Železničar Lajkovac	30	42	30	+12	43
4	Real Podunavci	30	37	29	+8	49
5	Omladinac Zablaće	30	36	30	+6	42
6	Napredak Markovac	30	36	33	+3	38
7	Jedinstvo Putevi	30	35	39	-4	39
8	Budućnost Krušik	30	34	33	+1	40
9	Sloboda Užice	30	33	24	+9	41
10	FK Mladi Radnik 1940 Radinac	30	31	52	-21	34
11	Jošanica	30	30	45	-15	28
12	FK Šumadija 1903 Kragujevac	30	29	28	+1	39
13	Sloga Požega	30	29	33	-4	36
14	FK Zlatibor	31	29	35	-6	41
15	FK Polimlje Prijepolje	30	24	50	-26	24
16	Takovo	30	23	29	-6	37