Statistiche / Calcio / Inghilterra. U18 Premier League - Sud / Southampton Under 18 vs Birmingham City U18

Southampton Under 18 vs Birmingham City U18 Statistics & Analysis

Southampton Under 18 Southampton Under 18
May 09, 2026 - 12:00
3 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 46%
Birmingham City U18 Birmingham City U18
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Southampton Under 18 Southampton Under 18 ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 2-1, 3-1, 2-2, 3-2, 1-1 3-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 28, 2026 · 15:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2224234

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Southampton Under 18 win · Southampton Under 18 3–0 Birmingham City U18
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: U18 Premier League - Sud
  • Fixture: Southampton Under 18 vs Birmingham City U18
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Southampton Under 18 1.45 — Birmingham City U18 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 17.9% · Over 2.5 82.1%); BTTS Yes (Yes 58.1% · No 41.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 58.1% · No 41.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 2-1 (7.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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