Statistiche / Calcio / Arabia Saudita. Pro League Arabia Saudita / NEOM vs Al Shabab

NEOM vs Al Shabab Statistics & Analysis

NEOM NEOM
May 11, 2026 - 16:50
2 2.20
1 1.69
xG Accuracy: 78%
Al Shabab Al Shabab
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 NEOM NEOM ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 2-1, 1-1, 2-2, 1-2, 3-1 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 19:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1489045

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result NEOM win · NEOM 2–1 Al Shabab
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Pro League Arabia Saudita
  • Fixture: NEOM vs Al Shabab
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-11 16:50:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 48.7% · Draw 22.4% · Away 28.9%
  • xG (showing): NEOM 2.2 — Al Shabab 1.69 (total xG ≈ 3.89)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 74.5% · Implied: 61.0% · Probability edge: +13.5 pts · Est. EV: +22.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 73.5% · No 26.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 2-1 (8.4%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Pro League Arabia Saudita Pro League Arabia Saudita — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Al-Nassr 34 28 2 4 86
2 Al-Hilal 34 25 9 0 84
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah 34 25 6 3 81
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC 34 23 8 3 77
5 Al-Ittihad FC 34 16 7 11 55
6 Al Taawon 34 15 8 11 53
7 Al-Ettifaq 34 14 8 12 50
8 NEOM 34 12 9 13 45
9 Al-Hazm 34 11 9 14 42
10 Al-Fayha 34 10 8 16 38
11 Al-Fateh 34 9 10 15 37
12 Al Khaleej Saihat 34 10 7 17 37
13 Al Shabab 34 8 11 15 35
14 Al Kholood 34 9 6 19 33
15 Al Riyadh 34 7 9 18 30
16 Damac 34 6 11 17 29
17 Al Akhdoud 34 5 5 24 20
18 Al Najma 34 3 7 24 16
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Al-Nassr 34 91 28 +63 86
2 Al-Hilal 34 85 27 +58 84
3 Al-Qadisiyah FC 34 83 34 +49 77
4 Al-Ahli Jeddah 34 71 25 +46 81
5 Al Taawon 34 59 46 +13 53
6 Al-Ittihad FC 34 55 48 +7 55
7 Al Khaleej Saihat 34 54 62 -8 37
8 Al-Ettifaq 34 51 55 -4 50
9 Al Shabab 34 44 57 -13 35
10 NEOM 34 43 48 -5 45
11 Al-Fayha 34 41 54 -13 38
12 Al-Fateh 34 41 55 -14 37
13 Al Kholood 34 39 61 -22 33
14 Al-Hazm 34 38 57 -19 42
15 Al Riyadh 34 35 63 -28 30
16 Damac 34 32 55 -23 29
17 Al Najma 34 32 76 -44 16
18 Al Akhdoud 34 27 70 -43 20
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 Al-Nassr 34 69.8 26.0 +43.8 86
2 Al-Hilal 34 68.9 25.9 +43.0 84
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah 34 62.4 26.7 +35.7 81
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC 34 62.9 35.2 +27.7 77
5 Al-Ittihad FC 34 49.5 41.2 +8.3 55
6 NEOM 34 45.8 39.4 +6.4 45
7 Al Shabab 34 44.1 44.7 -0.6 35
8 Al Taawon 34 42.0 44.7 -2.7 53
9 Al Khaleej Saihat 34 42.6 46.3 -3.7 37
10 Al-Fateh 34 42.5 49.6 -7.1 37
11 Al Riyadh 34 41.4 50.5 -9.1 30
12 Al-Fayha 34 33.3 43.4 -10.1 38
13 Al-Hazm 34 34.1 47.4 -13.3 42
14 Damac 34 25.1 38.5 -13.4 29
15 Al-Ettifaq 34 39.0 56.5 -17.5 50
16 Al Kholood 34 33.2 51.5 -18.3 33
17 Al Najma 34 28.1 61.0 -32.9 16
18 Al Akhdoud 34 26.8 62.8 -36.0 20
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