Statistiche / Calcio / Chinese-Taipei. Taiwan Football Premier League / Taichung Rock FC vs Ming Chuan University

Taichung Rock FC vs Ming Chuan University Statistics & Analysis

Taichung Rock FC Taichung Rock FC
May 24, 2026 - 11:00
3 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 46%
Ming Chuan University Ming Chuan University
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Taichung Rock FC Taichung Rock FC ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 2-1, 2-0, 1-1, 1-0, 3-1 3-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 23:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1519095

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Taichung Rock FC win · Taichung Rock FC 3–0 Ming Chuan University
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Taiwan Football Premier League
  • Fixture: Taichung Rock FC vs Ming Chuan University
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-24 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Taichung Rock FC 1.45 — Ming Chuan University 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 34.0% · Over 2.5 66.0%); BTTS No (Yes 35.0% · No 65.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 35.0% · No 65.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 2-1 (9.7%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Taiwan Football Premier League Taiwan Football Premier League — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Tainan City 21 12 5 4 41
2 Hang Yuen 21 13 2 6 41
3 AC Taipei 21 11 6 4 39
4 Taichung Futuro 21 12 1 8 37
5 Taichung Rock FC 21 8 6 7 30
6 Tatung 21 6 6 9 24
7 Taipower 21 5 5 11 20
8 Ming Chuan University 21 1 1 19 4
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Tainan City 21 44 21 +23 41
2 Taichung Futuro 21 36 22 +14 37
3 Hang Yuen 21 35 15 +20 41
4 AC Taipei 21 29 22 +7 39
5 Taichung Rock FC 21 28 30 -2 30
6 Tatung 21 27 28 -1 24
7 Taipower 21 27 33 -6 20
8 Ming Chuan University 21 14 69 -55 4