Statistiche / Calcio / Francia. National 2 - Gruppo C / Rumilly Vallières vs Creteil

Rumilly Vallières vs Creteil Statistics & Analysis

May 16, 2026 - 16:00
0 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 63%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Rumilly Vallières Creteil ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 30, 2026 · 13:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2515307

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result Creteil win · Rumilly Vallières 0–1 Creteil
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): +37.5%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: National 2 - Gruppo C
  • Fixture: Rumilly Vallières vs Creteil
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-16 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Rumilly Vallières 1.45 — Creteil 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 50.6% · Over 2.5 49.4%); BTTS Yes (Yes 58.5% · No 41.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 58.5% · No 41.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 15, 2026 (UTC)

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National 2 - Gruppo C National 2 - Gruppo CClassifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Cannes 31 17 10 4 61
2 Nîmes 30 18 5 7 59
3 Saint-Maur Lusitanos 30 15 10 5 55
4 Rumilly Vallières 30 13 8 9 47
5 Hyères 31 11 13 7 46
6 Andrézieux-Bouthéon FC 30 12 9 9 45
7 Istres 30 11 10 9 43
8 Creteil 30 12 7 11 43
9 Chasselay MDA 30 11 8 11 41
10 Grasse 30 9 9 12 36
11 Fréjus St-Raphaël 30 9 8 13 35
12 Limonest 30 9 7 14 34
13 Tolone 30 8 10 12 34
14 Bobigny 30 7 11 12 32
15 Saint-Priest 30 7 9 14 30
16 Rousset-Ste Victoire 30 2 6 22 12
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Cannes 31 56 33 +23 61
2 Rumilly Vallières 30 49 36 +13 47
3 Andrézieux-Bouthéon FC 30 48 33 +15 45
4 Nîmes 30 46 25 +21 59
5 Istres 30 42 32 +10 43
6 Grasse 30 41 42 -1 36
7 Saint-Maur Lusitanos 30 40 24 +16 55
8 Hyères 31 39 30 +9 46
9 Chasselay MDA 30 38 46 -8 41
10 Tolone 30 38 47 -9 34
11 Fréjus St-Raphaël 30 37 50 -13 35
12 Creteil 30 36 34 +2 43
13 Limonest 30 36 49 -13 34
14 Saint-Priest 30 35 50 -15 30
15 Bobigny 30 29 31 -2 32
16 Rousset-Ste Victoire 30 28 76 -48 12