Frechen vs Wegberg-Beeck Statistics & Analysis

Frechen

May 25, 2026 - 13:30

0 1.45

0 1.25

xG Accuracy: 40%

Wegberg-Beeck

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Frechen Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 0-1 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 28, 2026 · 09:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2169944

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Frechen 0–0 Wegberg-Beeck

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Oberliga Mittelrhein
Fixture: Frechen vs Wegberg-Beeck
Kickoff: 2026-05-25 13:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Frechen 1.45 — Wegberg-Beeck 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 31.2% · Over 2.5 68.8%); BTTS Yes (Yes 65.5% · No 34.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 65.5% · No 34.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.0%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Oberliga Mittelrhein — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Bergisch Gladbach	30	20	7	3	67
2	Eintracht Hohkeppel	30	20	4	6	64
3	Siegburger SV	30	19	6	6	62
4	SSV Merten	30	18	6	6	60
5	VfL Vichttal	30	18	6	7	59
6	Wegberg-Beeck	30	15	6	9	51
7	Frechen	30	16	2	12	50
8	Bornheim	30	14	4	12	46
9	TuS BW Königsdorf	30	14	4	12	46
10	Fortuna Colonia II	30	13	6	11	45
11	Düren Merzenich	30	11	5	14	38
12	Hennef 05	30	11	2	17	35
13	Porz	30	7	4	19	25
14	Teutonia Weiden	30	4	4	22	16
15	SF Düren	30	4	2	24	14
16	Pesch	30	2	2	26	8

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Eintracht Hohkeppel	30	86	36	+50	64
2	Bergisch Gladbach	30	85	28	+57	67
3	SSV Merten	30	80	28	+52	60
4	VfL Vichttal	30	80	43	+37	59
5	Siegburger SV	30	75	34	+41	62
6	Frechen	30	66	54	+12	50
7	Bornheim	30	65	56	+9	46
8	Wegberg-Beeck	30	62	35	+27	51
9	Fortuna Colonia II	30	62	47	+15	45
10	Porz	30	58	99	-41	25
11	TuS BW Königsdorf	30	53	54	-1	46
12	Düren Merzenich	30	49	59	-10	38
13	Hennef 05	30	45	66	-21	35
14	SF Düren	30	41	103	-62	14
15	Pesch	30	26	112	-86	8
16	Teutonia Weiden	30	25	104	-79	16