Spartak Myjava vs Veľké Ludince Statistics & Analysis

Spartak Myjava

May 08, 2026 - 17:00

2 1.45

0 1.25

xG Accuracy: 61%

Veľké Ludince

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Spartak Myjava Spartak Myjava ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0, 3-1 2-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 04, 2026 · 11:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2985156

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Spartak Myjava win · Spartak Myjava 2–0 Veľké Ludince

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 3. liga - Ovest
Fixture: Spartak Myjava vs Veľké Ludince
Kickoff: 2026-05-09 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Spartak Myjava 1.45 — Veľké Ludince 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 38.0% · Over 2.5 62.0%); BTTS Yes (Yes 76.7% · No 23.3%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 76.7% · No 23.3%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.8%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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