Statistiche / Calcio / Slovacchia. 3. liga - Est / Košice II vs Humenné

Košice II vs Humenné Statistics & Analysis

May 10, 2026 - 09:00
1 1.45
5 1.25
xG Accuracy: 32%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 draw Humenné ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-2, 1-1, 0-2, 1-3, 0-1 1-5 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 31, 2026 · 12:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2612134

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Humenné win · Košice II 1–5 Humenné
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 3. liga - Est
  • Fixture: Košice II vs Humenné
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-10 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Košice II 1.45 — Humenné 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 30.3% · Over 2.5 69.7%); BTTS Yes (Yes 81.8% · No 18.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 81.8% · No 18.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-2 (9.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
3. liga - Est 3. liga - Est — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Humenné 26 21 5 0 68
2 Spišská Nová Ves 26 20 5 1 65
3 MSK Tesla Stropkov 26 13 5 8 44
4 Lipany 26 13 4 9 43
5 Poprad 26 11 4 11 37
6 Raslavice 26 10 5 10 35
7 Spartak Medzev 26 9 6 11 33
8 Snina 26 8 7 11 31
9 Kežmarok 26 9 4 13 31
10 Lokomotíva Košice 26 7 9 10 30
11 Košice II 26 8 5 13 29
12 Vranov nad Topľou 26 5 10 11 25
13 Slovan Sabinov 26 5 9 12 24
14 Spišské Podhradie 26 2 4 20 10
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Humenné 26 88 20 +68 68
2 Spišská Nová Ves 26 66 18 +48 65
3 MSK Tesla Stropkov 26 48 37 +11 44
4 Spartak Medzev 26 47 50 -3 33
5 Lipany 26 46 43 +3 43
6 Raslavice 26 46 45 +1 35
7 Košice II 26 43 48 -5 29
8 Kežmarok 26 42 48 -6 31
9 Poprad 26 35 34 +1 37
10 Snina 26 33 38 -5 31
11 Vranov nad Topľou 26 33 45 -12 25
12 Lokomotíva Košice 26 33 59 -26 30
13 Spišské Podhradie 26 27 81 -54 10
14 Slovan Sabinov 26 26 47 -21 24