SC Kriens vs Paradiso Statistics & Analysis

SC Kriens

May 16, 2026 - 15:30

4 1.45

0 1.25

xG Accuracy: 35%

Paradiso

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 SC Kriens SC Kriens ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 2-1, 3-1, 1-1, 2-2, 2-0 4-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 16:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1473703

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result SC Kriens win · SC Kriens 4–0 Paradiso

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 1. Liga Promotion
Fixture: SC Kriens vs Paradiso
Kickoff: 2026-05-16 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): SC Kriens 1.45 — Paradiso 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 24.6% · Over 2.5 75.4%); BTTS Yes (Yes 71.8% · No 28.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 71.8% · No 28.2%
Correct score (top bin): 2-1 (8.7%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

1. Liga Promotion — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	SC Kriens	34	25	4	5	79
2	Brühl	34	22	6	6	72
3	Biel-Bienne	34	19	7	8	64
4	Basel II	34	17	8	9	59
5	Bavois	34	17	4	13	55
6	Young Boys II	34	15	9	10	54
7	FC Sciaffusa	34	16	5	13	53
8	Bulle	34	15	6	13	51
9	Cham	34	14	8	12	50
10	Grand-Saconnex	34	11	10	13	43
11	Zürich II	34	11	8	15	41
12	Breitenrain	34	11	8	15	41
13	Luzern II	34	10	10	14	40
14	Kreuzlingen	34	8	13	13	37
15	Lugano II	34	8	12	14	36
16	Paradiso	34	8	11	15	35
17	Losanna Sport II	34	9	4	21	31
18	Vevey Sports	34	1	5	28	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	SC Kriens	34	100	43	+57	79
2	Brühl	34	89	46	+43	72
3	Luzern II	34	80	83	-3	40
4	Biel-Bienne	34	78	46	+32	64
5	Grand-Saconnex	34	71	69	+2	43
6	Bulle	34	70	64	+6	51
7	Young Boys II	34	66	52	+14	54
8	Basel II	34	65	48	+17	59
9	Bavois	34	64	53	+11	55
10	Cham	34	62	61	+1	50
11	Losanna Sport II	34	60	84	-24	31
12	Zürich II	34	59	62	-3	41
13	FC Sciaffusa	34	51	46	+5	53
14	Paradiso	34	51	65	-14	35
15	Breitenrain	34	47	51	-4	41
16	Lugano II	34	45	75	-30	36
17	Kreuzlingen	34	43	66	-23	37
18	Vevey Sports	34	28	115	-87	2