Statistiche / Calcio / Germania. Oberliga - Brema / Eiche Horn vs Geestemünde

Eiche Horn vs Geestemünde Statistics & Analysis

Eiche Horn Eiche Horn
May 10, 2026 - 11:30
2 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 53%
Geestemünde Geestemünde
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Eiche Horn Geestemünde ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 2-1, 1-1, 3-1, 2-2, 2-0 2-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 00:43 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1661840

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Geestemünde win · Eiche Horn 2–3 Geestemünde
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Oberliga - Brema
  • Fixture: Eiche Horn vs Geestemünde
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-10 11:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Eiche Horn 1.45 — Geestemünde 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 26.1% · Over 2.5 73.9%); BTTS Yes (Yes 66.4% · No 33.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 66.4% · No 33.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 2-1 (8.9%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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