Statistiche / Calcio / Germania. Oberliga - Brema / Union Brema vs Hemelingen

Union Brema vs Hemelingen Statistics & Analysis

Union Brema Union Brema
May 09, 2026 - 11:00
0 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 32%
Hemelingen Hemelingen
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 draw Pareggio ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-2, 1-3, 2-2, 2-3, 1-1 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 03:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1807205

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Union Brema 0–0 Hemelingen
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Oberliga - Brema
  • Fixture: Union Brema vs Hemelingen
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-09 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Union Brema 1.45 — Hemelingen 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 16.8% · Over 2.5 83.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 81.5% · No 18.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 81.5% · No 18.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-2 (7.2%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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