Heeslinger SC vs Spelle-Venhaus Statistics & Analysis

Heeslinger SC

May 17, 2026 - 13:00

0 1.45

0 1.25

xG Accuracy: 23%

Spelle-Venhaus

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Heeslinger SC Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 3-1 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 10:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1589820

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Heeslinger SC 0–0 Spelle-Venhaus

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Oberliga - Bassa Sassonia
Fixture: Heeslinger SC vs Spelle-Venhaus
Kickoff: 2026-05-17 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Heeslinger SC 1.45 — Spelle-Venhaus 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 29.4% · Over 2.5 70.6%); BTTS Yes (Yes 75.7% · No 24.3%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 75.7% · No 24.3%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (8.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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