Statistiche / Calcio / Germania. Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein / Nordmark Satrup vs VfR Neumünster

Nordmark Satrup vs VfR Neumünster Statistics & Analysis

May 16, 2026 - 12:00
2 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 80%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Nordmark Satrup Nordmark Satrup ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 0-1 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 01, 2026 · 14:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2760583

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Nordmark Satrup win · Nordmark Satrup 2–1 VfR Neumünster
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
  • Fixture: Nordmark Satrup vs VfR Neumünster
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-16 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Nordmark Satrup 1.45 — VfR Neumünster 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 31.2% · Over 2.5 68.8%); BTTS Yes (Yes 69.4% · No 30.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 69.4% · No 30.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.0%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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