Arminia II vs Finnentrop/Bamenohl Statistics & Analysis

Arminia II

May 10, 2026 - 13:00

1 1.45

0 1.25

xG Accuracy: 63%

Finnentrop/Bamenohl

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Arminia II Arminia II ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 3-1 1-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 15:35 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1468707

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Arminia II win · Arminia II 1–0 Finnentrop/Bamenohl

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Oberliga - Vestfalia
Fixture: Arminia II vs Finnentrop/Bamenohl
Kickoff: 2026-05-10 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Arminia II 1.45 — Finnentrop/Bamenohl 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 31.2% · Over 2.5 68.8%); BTTS Yes (Yes 55.0% · No 45.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 55.0% · No 45.0%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.0%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Oberliga - Vestfalia — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Westfalia Rhynern	36	25	6	4	82
2	SG Wattenscheid 09	35	23	11	2	77
3	ASC Dortmund	36	22	9	6	75
4	Lippstadt 08	36	20	10	6	70
5	Preußen Münster II	36	21	5	10	68
6	Gievenbeck	36	14	7	14	50
7	Arminia II	36	13	9	13	48
8	Victoria Clarholz	36	12	10	14	46
9	Eintracht Rheine	36	11	10	14	44
10	Schermbeck	35	10	10	16	40
11	Sprockhövel	35	11	7	17	40
12	Türkspor Dortmund	36	12	4	20	40
13	Erkenschwick	36	10	10	16	40
14	Verl II	35	10	9	16	39
15	Vreden	36	11	6	19	39
16	Ennepetal	36	11	5	20	38
17	Hiltrup	36	9	9	18	36
18	Rot Weiss Ahlen	36	9	7	20	34
19	Finnentrop/Bamenohl	36	8	9	19	33

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Westfalia Rhynern	36	96	38	+58	82
2	ASC Dortmund	36	81	41	+40	75
3	Preußen Münster II	36	80	49	+31	68
4	SG Wattenscheid 09	35	78	28	+50	77
5	Lippstadt 08	36	63	29	+34	70
6	Gievenbeck	36	61	55	+6	50
7	Türkspor Dortmund	36	60	77	-17	40
8	Sprockhövel	35	59	67	-8	40
9	Arminia II	36	56	57	-1	48
10	Victoria Clarholz	36	54	63	-9	46
11	Schermbeck	35	53	58	-5	40
12	Eintracht Rheine	36	53	63	-10	44
13	Vreden	36	52	68	-16	39
14	Finnentrop/Bamenohl	36	51	87	-36	33
15	Verl II	35	49	64	-15	39
16	Erkenschwick	36	48	67	-19	40
17	Ennepetal	36	44	75	-31	38
18	Hiltrup	36	42	60	-18	36
19	Rot Weiss Ahlen	36	42	77	-35	34