Weiden vs Coburg Statistics & Analysis

Weiden

May 08, 2026 - 17:00

5 1.45

0 1.25

xG Accuracy: 27%

Coburg

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
1X2 Weiden Weiden ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 2-1, 1-1, 2-0, 1-0, 3-1 5-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 13:35 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1449066

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Weiden win · Weiden 5–0 Coburg

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Fixture: Weiden vs Coburg
Kickoff: 2026-05-08 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Weiden 1.45 — Coburg 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 34.9% · Over 2.5 65.1%); BTTS No (Yes 45.2% · No 54.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 45.2% · No 54.8%
Correct score (top bin): 2-1 (9.7%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Oberliga - Bayern Nord — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Eltersdorf	32	21	2	9	65
2	Cham	33	18	8	7	62
3	ASV Neumarkt	32	18	5	9	59
4	Gebenbach	32	16	5	11	53
5	Eintracht Bamberg	32	13	12	7	51
6	Weiden	32	13	11	8	50
7	Ingolstadt II	32	13	7	12	46
8	Fortuna Regensburg	32	12	9	11	45
9	Jahn Regensburg II	32	13	5	14	44
10	Bayern Hof	32	11	10	11	43
11	TSV Neudrossenfeld	32	12	6	14	42
12	Kornburg	32	9	13	10	40
13	Würzburger FV	32	10	7	15	37
14	ATSV Erlangen	33	10	7	16	37
15	Stadeln	32	11	2	19	35
16	Coburg	32	9	3	20	30
17	Großschwarzenlohe	32	4	8	20	20

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	ASV Neumarkt	32	68	50	+18	59
2	Fortuna Regensburg	32	66	58	+8	45
3	Ingolstadt II	32	63	54	+9	46
4	Cham	33	62	35	+27	62
5	Jahn Regensburg II	32	59	53	+6	44
6	Weiden	32	57	39	+18	50
7	Bayern Hof	32	56	51	+5	43
8	Eltersdorf	32	55	30	+25	65
9	Eintracht Bamberg	32	53	39	+14	51
10	Gebenbach	32	53	47	+6	53
11	Kornburg	32	48	49	-1	40
12	TSV Neudrossenfeld	32	47	53	-6	42
13	Würzburger FV	32	46	62	-16	37
14	Coburg	32	44	81	-37	30
15	ATSV Erlangen	33	43	65	-22	37
16	Stadeln	32	42	65	-23	35
17	Großschwarzenlohe	32	35	66	-31	20