Ismaning vs Kottern Statistics & Analysis

Ismaning

May 09, 2026 - 12:00

4 1.45

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 46%

Kottern

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 draw Ismaning ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-1 4-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 27, 2026 · 12:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2013968

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Ismaning win · Ismaning 4–1 Kottern

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Fixture: Ismaning vs Kottern
Kickoff: 2026-05-09 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Ismaning 1.45 — Kottern 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 42.3% · Over 2.5 57.7%); BTTS Yes (Yes 56.0% · No 44.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 56.0% · No 44.0%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.2%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Oberliga - Bayern Süd — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	1860 München II	32	21	5	6	68
2	Landsberg	32	18	11	3	65
3	Kirchanschöring	32	16	10	6	58
4	Gundelfingen	32	16	7	9	55
5	Erlbach	32	16	5	11	53
6	Pipinsried	32	15	7	10	52
7	Heimstetten	32	14	9	9	51
8	Deisenhofen	32	13	10	9	49
9	Sportfreunde Schwaig	32	12	9	11	45
10	TuS Geretsried	32	12	8	12	44
11	Nördlingen	32	11	11	10	44
12	Ismaning	32	11	9	12	42
13	Schalding-Heining	32	9	11	12	38
14	Kottern	32	9	6	17	33
15	Sturm Hauzenberg	32	6	5	21	23
16	Türkspor Augsburg	32	4	5	23	17
17	Türkgücü-Ataspor	32	3	4	25	13

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Landsberg	32	79	43	+36	65
2	1860 München II	32	74	26	+48	68
3	Kirchanschöring	32	67	35	+32	58
4	Heimstetten	32	64	46	+18	51
5	Pipinsried	32	58	37	+21	52
6	Nördlingen	32	58	58	0	44
7	Gundelfingen	32	51	33	+18	55
8	Ismaning	32	50	58	-8	42
9	TuS Geretsried	32	49	46	+3	44
10	Sportfreunde Schwaig	32	48	44	+4	45
11	Deisenhofen	32	44	47	-3	49
12	Schalding-Heining	32	43	50	-7	38
13	Erlbach	32	42	35	+7	53
14	Kottern	32	40	57	-17	33
15	Türkspor Augsburg	32	28	83	-55	17
16	Sturm Hauzenberg	32	24	64	-40	23
17	Türkgücü-Ataspor	32	21	78	-57	13