Würzburger Kickers vs SpVgg Unterhaching Statistics & Analysis

Würzburger Kickers

May 09, 2026 - 12:00

4 1.45

0 1.25

xG Accuracy: 35%

SpVgg Unterhaching

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 draw Würzburger Kickers ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 0-1, 1-0 4-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 30, 2026 · 13:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2514848

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Würzburger Kickers win · Würzburger Kickers 4–0 SpVgg Unterhaching

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Regionalliga - Bayern
Fixture: Würzburger Kickers vs SpVgg Unterhaching
Kickoff: 2026-05-08 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Würzburger Kickers 1.45 — SpVgg Unterhaching 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 43.4% · Over 2.5 56.6%); BTTS Yes (Yes 76.0% · No 24.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 76.0% · No 24.0%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Regionalliga - Bayern — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Norimberga II	34	24	5	5	77
2	Würzburger Kickers	34	22	9	3	75
3	SpVgg Unterhaching	34	22	4	8	70
4	Illertissen	34	19	7	8	64
5	Vilzing	34	15	6	13	51
6	Aubstadt	34	13	10	11	49
7	Eichstätt	34	12	12	10	48
8	Bayern Monaco II	34	14	6	14	47
9	Wacker Burghausen	34	13	8	13	47
10	Ansbach	34	13	7	14	46
11	Buchbach	34	13	7	14	46
12	Memmingen	34	10	12	12	42
13	Bayreuth	34	9	11	14	38
14	Augsburg II	34	9	7	18	34
15	Schwaben Augsburg	34	9	7	18	34
16	Greuther Fürth II	34	6	10	18	28
17	Viktoria Aschaffenburg	34	6	8	20	26
18	Hankofen-Hailing	34	5	8	21	23

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Würzburger Kickers	34	74	25	+49	75
2	SpVgg Unterhaching	34	72	30	+42	70
3	Illertissen	34	72	46	+26	64
4	Norimberga II	34	68	35	+33	77
5	Bayern Monaco II	34	61	52	+9	47
6	Ansbach	34	54	65	-11	46
7	Buchbach	34	54	69	-15	46
8	Vilzing	34	49	44	+5	51
9	Aubstadt	34	49	45	+4	49
10	Eichstätt	34	48	37	+11	48
11	Greuther Fürth II	34	47	60	-13	28
12	Wacker Burghausen	34	46	50	-4	47
13	Memmingen	34	43	47	-4	42
14	Schwaben Augsburg	34	39	60	-21	34
15	Augsburg II	34	37	48	-11	34
16	Bayreuth	34	36	53	-17	38
17	Viktoria Aschaffenburg	34	31	71	-40	26
18	Hankofen-Hailing	34	31	74	-43	23